Cincinnati Bearcats vs UNLV Lady Rebels prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Cincinnati at UNLV: Bandwagon's model makes UNLV a 71% favorite (UNLV −9).
Cincinnati Bearcats vs UNLV Lady Rebels odds and win probability
Axle gives UNLV a 71% chance to win, by about 9 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UNLV
All WCBB ratings| CIN | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1513 157th of 357 | 1588 89th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UNLV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 71% | −3 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:48 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:53 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 74% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats vs UNLV Lady Rebels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Rebels a 9-point favorite at home, with a 71% chance to win. The model total is 131. Ratings: Lady Rebels 1588 (89th of 357), Bearcats 1513 (157th). The Lady Rebels are 1-2; the Bearcats are 2-0. The Lady Rebels have won 2 of their last 5; the Bearcats 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Lady Rebels won 0, the Bearcats 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Penn State Lady Lions | W 76–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas State Wildcats | L 66–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | L 60–118 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TCU Horned Frogs | L 70–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCF Knights | W 73–60 | – | – | matchup |
UNLV Lady Rebels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona State Sun Devils | L 58–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | W 69–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs USC Trojans | L 68–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado State Rams | L 59–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fresno State Bulldogs | W 79–65 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Lady Rebels at Cincinnati Bearcats | 48–65 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cincinnati Bearcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UNLV Lady Rebels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bearcats2-0 13th · W2
- Bearcats rating1513 157th of 357, 1 games
- Lady Rebels1-2 7th · L1
- Lady Rebels rating1588 89th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 13th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $CINWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cincinnati Bearcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
UNLV Lady Rebels 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UNLVWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UNLV Lady Rebels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Cincinnati Bearcats at UNLV Lady Rebels
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: UNLV 71% to win. Projected score UNLV 70, Cincinnati 61; spread UNLV −9, total 131. Cincinnati Bearcats at UNLV Lady Rebels, Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM ET.