Baylor Bears vs USC Trojans prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Baylor at USC: Bandwagon's model makes USC a 66% favorite (USC −7).
Baylor Bears vs USC Trojans odds and win probability
Axle gives USC a 66% chance to win, by about 7 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has USC
All WCBB ratings| BAY | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1689 23rd of 357 | 1678 26th of 357 |
| Record | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | W3 |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | USC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 66% | +15 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 51% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:08 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:08 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 50% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 4:48 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:43 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:58 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:49 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 51% | — |
Baylor Bears vs USC Trojans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Trojans a 7-point favorite, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 137.5. Ratings: Trojans 1678 (26th of 357), Bears 1689 (23rd). The Trojans are 3-0; the Bears are 3-0. The Trojans have won 4 of their last 5; the Bears 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Trojans won 1, the Bears 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Baylor Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | W 112–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | W 72–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 87–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Duke Blue Devils | L 46–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nebraska Cornhuskers | W 67–62 | – | – | matchup |
USC Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Charleston Cougars | W 105–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah State Aggies | W 118–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UNLV Lady Rebels | W 100–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 61–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Clemson Tigers | W 71–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears at USC Trojans | 70–74 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Baylor Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
USC Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bears3-0 5th · W3
- Bears rating1689 23rd of 357, 3 games
- Trojans3-0 7th · W3
- Trojans rating1678 26th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Baylor Bears 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $BAYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Baylor Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
USC Trojans 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $USCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the USC Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Baylor Bears at USC Trojans
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.