Air Force Falcons vs Omaha Mavericks prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Air Force at Omaha: Bandwagon's model makes Air Force a 66% favorite (Air Force −2).
Air Force Falcons vs Omaha Mavericks odds and win probability
Axle gives Air Force a 66% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Air Force
All WCBB ratings| AF | OMA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1490 180th of 357 | 1329 329th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | OMA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:38 PM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 34% | −1 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 35% | — |
Air Force Falcons vs Omaha Mavericks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Falcons a 2-point favorite, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 124. Ratings: Mavericks 1329 (329th of 357), Falcons 1490 (180th). The Mavericks are 1-2; the Falcons are 2-0. The Mavericks have won 1 of their last 5; the Falcons 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Air Force Falcons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Saint Mary's Gaels | W 61–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Pioneers | W 66–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Colorado Bears | L 72–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado State Rams | L 42–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boise State Broncos | W 68–66 | – | – | matchup |
Omaha Mavericks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Western Illinois Leathernecks | L 54–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 48–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 37–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks | W 49–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Pioneers | L 50–71 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Air Force Falcons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Omaha Mavericks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Falcons2-0 1st · W2
- Falcons rating1490 180th of 357, 2 games
- Mavericks1-2 8th · L1
- Mavericks rating1329 329th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $AFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Air Force Falcons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Omaha Mavericks 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $OMAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Omaha Mavericks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Air Force Falcons at Omaha Mavericks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Air Force 66% to win. Projected score Air Force 63, Omaha 61; spread Air Force −2, total 124. Air Force Falcons at Omaha Mavericks, Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET.