Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
- Projected winnerGeorgia Southern 53%
- Projected scoreGeorgia Southern 25, Troy 24
- Model spreadGeorgia Southern −1 total 49.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Georgia Southern Eagles or Troy Trojans: the bandwagon
Axle 53–47Market –
Georgia Southern Eagles at Troy Trojans win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | GASO | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | GASO– | TROY– |
| Average win probability | GASO– | TROY– |
| Longest scoring run | GASO– | TROY– |
| Time leading | GASO– | TROY– |
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TROY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 47% | — |
- Ratings
- TROY 1428 · GASO 1500
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Eagles a 1-point favorite, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 49.5. Ratings: Trojans 1428 (91st of 138), Eagles 1500 (69th). The Trojans have won 2 of their last 5; the Eagles 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Trojans won 1, the Eagles 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs App State Mountaineers | W 19–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 23–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | W 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | L 28–42 | – | – | matchup |
Troy Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at James Madison Dukes | W 24–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UL Monroe Warhawks | L 14–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 6–33 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles | W 55–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah State Aggies | L 10–21 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans at Georgia Southern Eagles | 28–20 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Georgia Southern Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Troy Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles– Sun Belt - East, 4th · W2
- Eagles rating1500 69th of 138, 7 games
- Trojans– Sun Belt - West, 5th · W1
- Trojans rating1428 91st of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 4th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $GASO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia Southern Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TROY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Troy Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Georgia Southern Eagles at Troy Trojans
Sign in to post a take on $GASOTROY261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Georgia Southern 53% to win. Projected score Georgia Southern 25, Troy 24; spread Georgia Southern −1, total 49.5. Georgia Southern Eagles at Troy Trojans, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 AM ET.