Yale Bulldogs vs Belmont Bruins prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Yale at Belmont: Bandwagon's model makes Belmont a 54% favorite (Belmont −2.5).
Yale Bulldogs vs Belmont Bruins odds and win probability
Axle gives Belmont a 54% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Belmont
All CBB ratings| YALE | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1613 44th of 365 | 1621 40th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | BEL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 54% | +3 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 51% | −3 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | — |
Yale Bulldogs vs Belmont Bruins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins a 2.5-point favorite, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 146. Ratings: Bruins 1621 (40th of 365), Bulldogs 1613 (44th). The Bruins are 2-1; the Bulldogs are 1-2. The Bruins have won 2 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Yale Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Baylor Bears | L 61–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCF Knights | L 75–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Howard Bison | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks | L 67–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pennsylvania Quakers | L 84–88 | – | – | matchup |
Belmont Bruins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Lipscomb Bisons | L 75–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | W 72–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Drake Bulldogs | L 79–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois State Redbirds | L 74–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Evansville Purple Aces | W 98–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Yale Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Belmont Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulldogs1-2 8th · L2
- Bulldogs rating1613 44th of 365, 2 games
- Bruins2-1 5th · L1
- Bruins rating1621 40th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Yale Bulldogs 1-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $YALEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Yale Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Belmont Bruins 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $BELMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Belmont Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Yale Bulldogs at Belmont Bruins
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.