Winthrop Eagles vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Winthrop at Illinois: Bandwagon's model makes Illinois a 96% favorite (Illinois −21.5).
Winthrop Eagles vs Illinois Fighting Illini odds and win probability
Axle gives Illinois a 96% chance to win, by about 22 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Illinois
All CBB ratings| WIN | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1533 125th of 365 | 1710 9th of 365 |
| Record | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ILL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 96% | +11 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | — |
Winthrop Eagles vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Fighting Illini a 21.5-point favorite at home, with a 96% chance to win. The model total is 157. Ratings: Fighting Illini 1710 (9th of 365), Eagles 1533 (125th). The Fighting Illini are 2-1; the Eagles are 0-3. The Fighting Illini have won 3 of their last 5; the Eagles 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Winthrop Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kennesaw State Owls | L 79–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks | L 90–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Queens University Royals | L 98–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at High Point Panthers | L 76–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Presbyterian Blue Hose | W 73–71 | – | – | matchup |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas Tech Red Raiders | L 78–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pennsylvania Quakers | W 112–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 120–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | L 62–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa Hawkeyes | W 71–59 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Winthrop Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Illinois Fighting Illini: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles0-3 9th · L3
- Eagles rating1533 125th of 365, 2 games
- Fighting Illini2-1 12th · L1
- Fighting Illini rating1710 9th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Winthrop Eagles 0-3
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $WINMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Winthrop Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ILLMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Illinois Fighting Illini bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Winthrop Eagles at Illinois Fighting Illini
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Illinois 96% to win. Projected score Illinois 89, Winthrop 68; spread Illinois −21.5, total 157. Winthrop Eagles at Illinois Fighting Illini, Mon, Nov 23, 8:00 PM ET.