Western Michigan Broncos vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Western Michigan at Mount St. Mary's: Bandwagon's model makes Mount St. Mary's a 72% favorite (Mount St. Mary's −7.5).
Western Michigan Broncos vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers odds and win probability
Axle gives Mount St. Mary's a 72% chance to win, by about 7 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Mount St. Mary's
All CBB ratings| WMU | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1433 277th of 365 | 1477 216th of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MSM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 72% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 71% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 72% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 71% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 72% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 71% | −3 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:40 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:04 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 74% | — |
Western Michigan Broncos vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mountaineers a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 142.5. Ratings: Mountaineers 1477 (216th of 365), Broncos 1433 (277th). The Mountaineers are 1-1; the Broncos are 2-1. The Mountaineers have won 2 of their last 5; the Broncos 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Mountaineers won 0, the Broncos 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Western Michigan Broncos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Campbell Fighting Camels | W 87–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | L 49–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | L 78–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ball State Cardinals | L 71–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 67–69 | – | – | matchup |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | W 68–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Xavier Musketeers | L 52–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Siena Saints | L 58–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fairfield Stags | W 69–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacred Heart Pioneers | L 69–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at Western Michigan Broncos | 60–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Western Michigan Broncos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Broncos2-1 6th · W2
- Broncos rating1433 277th of 365, 2 games
- Mountaineers1-1 5th · W1
- Mountaineers rating1477 216th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $WMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Michigan Broncos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MSMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Western Michigan Broncos at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Mount St. Mary's 72% to win. Projected score Mount St. Mary's 75, Western Michigan 68; spread Mount St. Mary's −7.5, total 142.5. Western Michigan Broncos at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.