Western Illinois Leathernecks vs UAlbany Great Danes prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Western Illinois at UAlbany: Bandwagon's model makes UAlbany a 68% favorite (UAlbany −6).
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs UAlbany Great Danes odds and win probability
Axle gives UAlbany a 68% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UAlbany
All CBB ratings| WIU | UALB | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1313 361st of 365 | 1416 297th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UALB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 68% | −2 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 70% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 71% | +2 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 69% | — |
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs UAlbany Great Danes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Great Danes a 6-point favorite, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 143.5. Ratings: Great Danes 1416 (297th of 365), Leathernecks 1313 (361st). The Great Danes are 2-1; the Leathernecks are 1-2. The Great Danes have won 2 of their last 5; the Leathernecks 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Houston Christian Huskies | L 67–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Valparaiso Beacons | L 58–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L 47–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Morehead State Eagles | L 59–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Little Rock Trojans | L 58–77 | – | – | matchup |
UAlbany Great Danes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Merrimack Warriors | L 60–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Manhattan Jaspers | W 72–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UMass Lowell River Hawks | L 76–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vermont Catamounts | L 56–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Hampshire Wildcats | W 84–61 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Western Illinois Leathernecks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UAlbany Great Danes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Leathernecks1-2 8th · W1
- Leathernecks rating1313 361st of 365, 2 games
- Great Danes2-1 4th · L1
- Great Danes rating1416 297th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $WIUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Illinois Leathernecks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UALBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UAlbany Great Danes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Western Illinois Leathernecks at UAlbany Great Danes
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: UAlbany 68% to win. Projected score UAlbany 75, Western Illinois 69; spread UAlbany −6, total 143.5. Western Illinois Leathernecks at UAlbany Great Danes, Fri, Nov 20, 3:00 PM ET.