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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Allen Fieldhouse · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

UNLV Rebels vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026

UNLV at Kansas: Bandwagon's model makes Kansas a 69% favorite (Kansas −6.5).

UNLV Rebels vs Kansas Jayhawks odds and win probability

UNLVUNLV2-0 · won 3 of last 5
Tip-offAllen Fieldhouse
KUKansas3-0 · won 3 straight

Axle gives Kansas a 69% chance to win, by about 7 points.

UNLV 31%Kansas 69%
Projected score71–78UNLV–Kansas
Model spreadKU −6.5UNLV +6.5
Model total149points
Model moneyline+226 / −226UNLV / KU

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

▲ UNLVAxle 31%▲ KansasAxle's side · 69%

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has Kansas

All CBB ratings
UNLV and KU side by side
UNLVKU
Rating1548 96th of 3651645 27th of 365
Record2-03-0
Last 5 games3-24-1
StreakW2W3

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementKU win chance, 90 stored lines
+30 pts for KU since Nov 4
75%32%
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: KU 39%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: KU 39%Nov 5, 8:13 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 5, 8:38 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 5, 9:28 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 5, 10:08 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 5, 10:57 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 5, 11:26 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 6, 9:31 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 6, 9:51 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET: KU 39%Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET: KU 38%Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET: KU 38%Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET: KU 38%Nov 7, 12:04 AM ET: KU 38%Nov 7, 12:49 AM ET: KU 38%Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET: KU 68%Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET: KU 68%Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET: KU 68%Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET: KU 66%Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: KU 67%Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET: KU 66%Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET: KU 66%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: KU 69%Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET: KU 69%
Nov 4Nov 7Now
Every stored line
StoredKU winMove
Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET69%0
Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET69%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET69%+3
Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET66%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET66%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET66%0
Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET66%0
Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET66%−1
Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET67%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET67%0
Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET67%+1
Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET66%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET66%0
Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET66%0
Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET66%0
Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET66%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET66%0
Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET66%0
Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET66%0
Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET66%0
Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET66%0
Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET66%0
Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET66%0
Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET66%0
Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET66%0
Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET66%−2
Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET68%0
Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET68%0
Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET68%0
Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET68%0
Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET68%0
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET68%+30
Nov 7, 12:49 AM ET38%0
Nov 7, 12:19 AM ET38%0
Nov 7, 12:04 AM ET38%0
Nov 6, 11:44 PM ET38%0
Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET38%0
Nov 6, 11:24 PM ET38%0
Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET38%0
Nov 6, 11:14 PM ET38%0
Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET38%−1
Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 10:30 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 9:51 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 9:36 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 9:31 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 9:26 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 7:12 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET39%0
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET39%0
Nov 5, 11:26 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 11:16 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 10:57 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 10:17 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 10:08 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 9:33 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 9:28 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 9:13 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 8:38 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 8:28 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 8:13 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 7:33 PM ET39%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET39%0
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET39%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET39%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET39%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET39%—

UNLV Rebels vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Jayhawks a 6.5-point favorite, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 149. Ratings: Jayhawks 1645 (27th of 365), Rebels 1548 (96th). The Jayhawks are 3-0; the Rebels are 2-0. The Jayhawks have won 4 of their last 5; the Rebels 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

UNLV Rebels

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Samford BulldogsW 88–79––matchup
vs Northern Arizona LumberjacksW 89–77––matchup
at Tulsa Golden HurricaneL 66–77––matchup
at UC Irvine AnteatersW 75–72––matchup
at Utah State AggiesL 60–80––matchup

Kansas Jayhawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Kentucky WildcatsW 89–69––matchup
vs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersW 89–45––matchup
vs Fordham RamsW 95–65––matchup
vs St. John's Red StormL 65–67––matchup
vs California Baptist LancersW 68–60––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

UNLV Rebels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Kansas Jayhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Rebels2-0 4th · W2
  • Rebels rating1548 96th of 365, 2 games
  • Jayhawks3-0 4th · W3
  • Jayhawks rating1645 27th of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

Knights vs LionsAxle: Lions 71%Kalshi 84%Roos vs RattlersAxle: Rattlers 69%Kalshi 30%Big Green vs Great DanesAxle: Great Danes 62%Kalshi 46%Cardinals vs AggiesAxle: Aggies 80%Kalshi 88%
UNLV pageKansas pageCBB odds boardCBB on Kalshi and PolymarketWeekly pick'emAxle's recordOdds calculators

The bandwagon on each team

UNLV Rebels 2-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNLVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNLVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNLVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNLVMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UNLV Rebels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Rebels roster, schedule and more

Kansas Jayhawks 3-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W3

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $KUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas Jayhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Jayhawks roster, schedule and more

Takes on UNLV Rebels at Kansas Jayhawks

Sign in to post a take on $KUMBBUNLVMBB261118: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.