UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Pepperdine Waves prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
UNC Greensboro at Pepperdine: Bandwagon's model makes Pepperdine a 59% favorite (Pepperdine −3.5).
UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Pepperdine Waves odds and win probability
Axle gives Pepperdine a 59% chance to win, by about 4 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Pepperdine
All CBB ratings| UNCG | PEPP | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1439 266th of 365 | 1391 321st of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | PEPP win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 59% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 58% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 59% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 58% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 59% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 58% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 59% | — |
UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Pepperdine Waves prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Waves a 3.5-point favorite at home, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 147.5. Ratings: Waves 1391 (321st of 365), Spartans 1439 (266th). The Waves are 2-1; the Spartans are 1-2. The Waves have won 1 of their last 5; the Spartans 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UIC Flames | L 72–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Elon Phoenix | L 65–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Furman Paladins | L 75–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wofford Terriers | W 75–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VMI Keydets | W 84–70 | – | – | matchup |
Pepperdine Waves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Cornell Big Red | L 85–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Pilots | L 68–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington State Cougars | W 88–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle U Redhawks | L 80–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon State Beavers | L 73–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
UNC Greensboro Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Pepperdine Waves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Spartans1-2 8th · L2
- Spartans rating1439 266th of 365, 2 games
- Waves2-1 5th · W2
- Waves rating1391 321st of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $UNCGMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UNC Greensboro Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Pepperdine Waves 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $PEPPMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pepperdine Waves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UNC Greensboro Spartans at Pepperdine Waves
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Pepperdine 59% to win. Projected score Pepperdine 76, UNC Greensboro 72; spread Pepperdine −3.5, total 147.5. UNC Greensboro Spartans at Pepperdine Waves, Mon, Nov 23, 12:00 AM ET.