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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Firestone Fieldhouse · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Pepperdine Waves prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

UC Santa Barbara at Pepperdine: Bandwagon's model makes UC Santa Barbara a 54% favorite (even).

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Pepperdine Waves odds and win probability

UCSB · AWAYUC Santa Barbara2-0 · won 2 of last 5
Tip-offFirestone Fieldhouse
PEPP · HOMEPepperdine2-1 · won 1 of last 5

Axle gives UC Santa Barbara a 54% chance to win.

UC Santa Barbara 54%Pepperdine 46%
Model spreadPKeven
Model total148.5points
Model moneyline−119 / +119UCSB / PEPP

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

▲ UC Santa BarbaraAxle's side · 54%▲ PepperdineAxle 46%

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has UC Santa Barbara

All CBB ratings
UCSB and PEPP side by side
UCSBPEPP
Rating1531 128th of 3651391 321st of 365
Record2-02-1
Last 5 games2-31-4
StreakW2W2
Home fieldNoYes
Meetings won10

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementPEPP win chance, 80 stored lines
−2 pts for PEPP since Nov 6
53%40%
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 7:12 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 9:36 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 10:20 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 11:14 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 7, 4:04 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET: PEPP 48%Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: PEPP 46%Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET: PEPP 46%
Nov 6Nov 8Now
Every stored line
StoredPEPP winMove
Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET46%0
Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET46%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET46%0
Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET46%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET46%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET46%0
Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET46%0
Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET46%0
Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET46%0
Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET46%0
Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET46%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET46%0
Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET46%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET46%0
Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET46%0
Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET46%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET46%0
Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET46%0
Nov 8, 12:12 AM ET46%0
Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET46%0
Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET46%0
Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET46%−2
Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET48%0
Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET48%0
Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET48%0
Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET48%0
Nov 7, 4:04 PM ET48%0
Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET48%0
Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET48%0
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET48%0
Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 11:14 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 10:20 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 9:36 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 9:26 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 9:11 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 7:32 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 7:12 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET48%0
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET48%—

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Pepperdine Waves prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Gauchos the favorite, with a 54% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 148.5. Ratings: Waves 1391 (321st of 365), Gauchos 1531 (128th). The Waves are 2-1; the Gauchos are 2-0. The Waves have won 1 of their last 5; the Gauchos 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Waves won 0, the Gauchos 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Oakland Golden GrizzliesW 90–67––matchup
at UC Davis AggiesL 73–79––matchup
vs UC San Diego TritonsL 63–64––matchup
at UC Irvine AnteatersL 60–64––matchup
vs UC Riverside HighlandersW 70–59––matchup

Pepperdine Waves

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Cornell Big RedL 85–86––matchup
at Portland PilotsL 68–77––matchup
vs Washington State CougarsW 88–79––matchup
vs Seattle U RedhawksL 80–87––matchup
at Oregon State BeaversL 73–83––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at Pepperdine Waves67–64––matchup

Injuries

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Pepperdine Waves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Gauchos2-0 5th · W2
  • Gauchos rating1531 128th of 365, 1 games
  • Waves2-1 5th · W2
  • Waves rating1391 321st of 365, 1 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

Knights vs LionsAxle: Lions 71%Kalshi 84%Roos vs RattlersAxle: Rattlers 69%Kalshi 30%Big Green vs Great DanesAxle: Great Danes 62%Kalshi 46%Cardinals vs AggiesAxle: Aggies 80%Kalshi 88%
UC Santa Barbara pagePepperdine pageCBB odds boardCBB on Kalshi and PolymarketWeekly pick'emAxle's recordOdds calculators

The bandwagon on each team

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 2-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UCSBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UCSBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UCSBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UCSBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Gauchos roster, schedule and more

Pepperdine Waves 2-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PEPPMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PEPPMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PEPPMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PEPPMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pepperdine Waves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Waves roster, schedule and more

Takes on UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at Pepperdine Waves

Sign in to post a take on $UCSBMBBPEPPMBB261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.