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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Schollmaier Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Texas A&M Aggies vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026

Texas A&M at TCU: Bandwagon's model makes TCU a 61% favorite (TCU −4.5).

Texas A&M Aggies vs TCU Horned Frogs odds and win probability

TA&M · AWAYTexas A&M3-0 · won 3 straight
Tip-offSchollmaier Arena
TCU · HOMETCU3-0 · won 3 straight

Axle gives TCU a 61% chance to win, by about 4 points.

Texas A&M 39%TCU 61%
Projected score75–79Texas A&M–TCU
Model spreadTCU −4.5TA&M +4.5
Model total154.5points
Model moneyline+158 / −158TA&M / TCU

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

▲ Texas A&MAxle 39%▲ TCUAxle's side · 61%

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has TCU

All CBB ratings
TA&M and TCU side by side
TA&MTCU
Rating1617 42nd of 3651614 43rd of 365
Record3-03-0
Last 5 games4-14-1
StreakW3W3
Home fieldNoYes

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementTCU win chance, 71 stored lines
−3 pts for TCU since Nov 6
71%56%
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET: TCU 64%Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET: TCU 64%Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET: TCU 64%Nov 6, 9:56 PM ET: TCU 64%Nov 6, 10:07 PM ET: TCU 61%Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 6, 11:24 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET: TCU 63%Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET: TCU 65%Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET: TCU 65%Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: TCU 65%Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET: TCU 65%Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET: TCU 61%Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET: TCU 61%
Nov 6Nov 8Now
Every stored line
StoredTCU winMove
Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET61%0
Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET61%−4
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET65%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET65%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET65%0
Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET65%0
Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET65%0
Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET65%0
Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET65%0
Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET65%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET65%0
Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET65%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET65%0
Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET65%0
Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET65%0
Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET65%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET65%+2
Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET63%0
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET63%0
Nov 7, 12:04 AM ET63%0
Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET63%0
Nov 6, 11:24 PM ET63%0
Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET63%0
Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET63%0
Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET63%0
Nov 6, 10:15 PM ET63%+2
Nov 6, 10:07 PM ET61%−3
Nov 6, 9:56 PM ET64%0
Nov 6, 9:11 PM ET64%0
Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET64%0
Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET64%0
Nov 6, 8:11 PM ET64%0
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET64%—

Texas A&M Aggies vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Horned Frogs a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 61% chance to win. The model total is 154.5. Ratings: Horned Frogs 1614 (43rd of 365), Aggies 1617 (42nd). The Horned Frogs are 3-0; the Aggies are 3-0. The Horned Frogs have won 4 of their last 5; the Aggies 4 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Texas A&M Aggies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs UL Monroe WarhawksW 108–67––matchup
vs Northern Kentucky NorseW 104–67––matchup
vs Alabama State HornetsW 97–66––matchup
at Houston CougarsL 57–88––matchup
at Saint Mary's GaelsW 63–50––matchup

TCU Horned Frogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs UL Monroe WarhawksW 100–92––matchup
vs Southern JaguarsW 106–54––matchup
vs Lindenwood LionsW 98–59––matchup
at Duke Blue DevilsL 58–81––matchup
at Ohio State BuckeyesW 66–64––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Texas A&M Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

TCU Horned Frogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Aggies3-0 8th · W3
  • Aggies rating1617 42nd of 365, 3 games
  • Horned Frogs3-0 5th · W3
  • Horned Frogs rating1614 43rd of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

Knights vs LionsAxle: Lions 71%Kalshi 84%Roos vs RattlersAxle: Rattlers 69%Kalshi 30%Big Green vs Great DanesAxle: Great Danes 62%Kalshi 46%Cardinals vs AggiesAxle: Aggies 80%Kalshi 88%
Texas A&M pageTCU pageCBB odds boardCBB on Kalshi and PolymarketWeekly pick'emAxle's recordOdds calculators

The bandwagon on each team

Texas A&M Aggies 3-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W3

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TAMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas A&M Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Aggies roster, schedule and more

TCU Horned Frogs 3-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W3

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the TCU Horned Frogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Horned Frogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on Texas A&M Aggies at TCU Horned Frogs

Sign in to post a take on $TAMMBBTCUMBB261120: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.