Temple Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Temple at Middle Tennessee: Bandwagon's model makes Middle Tennessee a 57% favorite (Middle Tennessee −3).
Temple Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders odds and win probability
Axle gives Middle Tennessee a 57% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Middle Tennessee
All CBB ratings| TEM | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1466 231st of 365 | 1487 200th of 365 |
| Record | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MTSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 57% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 56% | +4 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 52% | — |
Temple Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Raiders a 3-point favorite, with a 57% chance to win. The model total is 142. Ratings: Blue Raiders 1487 (200th of 365), Owls 1466 (231st). The Blue Raiders are 2-1; the Owls are 1-1. The Blue Raiders have won 3 of their last 5; the Owls 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Temple Owls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Richmond Spiders | L 53–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W 68–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Atlantic Owls | L 59–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 76–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulane Green Wave | W 89–60 | – | – | matchup |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Evansville Purple Aces | W 73–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 45–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 69–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri State Bears | W 75–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida International Panthers | W 73–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Temple Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Owls1-1 10th · L1
- Owls rating1466 231st of 365, 2 games
- Blue Raiders2-1 4th · W1
- Blue Raiders rating1487 200th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Temple Owls 1-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $TEMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Temple Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MTSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Temple Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Middle Tennessee 57% to win. Projected score Middle Tennessee 73, Temple 69; spread Middle Tennessee −3, total 142. Temple Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Fri, Nov 20, 12:30 PM ET.