Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs Texas Longhorns prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Southern Utah at Texas: Bandwagon's model makes Texas an 86% favorite (Texas −13).
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs Texas Longhorns odds and win probability
Axle gives Texas a 86% chance to win, by about 13 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Texas
All CBB ratings| SUU | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1416 298th of 365 | 1608 47th of 365 |
| Record | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TEX win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 86% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:12 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 12:49 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:44 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:07 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:51 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:31 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:22 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:12 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | — |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs Texas Longhorns prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Longhorns a 13-point favorite at home, with a 86% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Longhorns 1608 (47th of 365), Thunderbirds 1416 (298th). The Longhorns are 3-0; the Thunderbirds are 3-0. The Longhorns have won 4 of their last 5; the Thunderbirds 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UT Arlington Mavericks | L 63–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs California Baptist Lancers | L 75–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Valley Wolverines | L 88–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Tech Trailblazers | W 81–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Abilene Christian Wildcats | L 83–87 | – | – | matchup |
Texas Longhorns
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Grambling Tigers | W 93–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | W 98–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago State Cougars | W 109–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Purdue Boilermakers | L 77–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | W 74–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Southern Utah Thunderbirds: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Texas Longhorns: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Thunderbirds3-0 1st · W3
- Thunderbirds rating1416 298th of 365, 0 games
- Longhorns3-0 7th · W3
- Longhorns rating1608 47th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $SUUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Texas Longhorns 3-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $TEXMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Longhorns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Texas Longhorns
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Texas 86% to win. Projected score Texas 79, Southern Utah 66; spread Texas −13, total 145.5. Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Texas Longhorns, Thu, Nov 19, 8:00 PM ET.