Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Grambling Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Southern Miss at Grambling: Bandwagon's model makes Grambling a 54% favorite (Grambling −2.5).
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Grambling Tigers odds and win probability
Axle gives Grambling a 54% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Grambling
All CBB ratings| USM | GRAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1491 192nd of 365 | 1412 304th of 365 |
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | GRAM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 54% | −1 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:50 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 12:04 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:24 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:30 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:20 PM ET | 55% | +1 |
| Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:26 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:11 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | — |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Grambling Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 2.5-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Tigers 1412 (304th of 365), Golden Eagles 1491 (192nd). The Tigers are 1-1; the Golden Eagles are 1-1. The Tigers have won 2 of their last 5; the Golden Eagles 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Golden Eagles 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 57–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | L 70–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at App State Mountaineers | W 86–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas State Bobcats | W 81–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | W 86–80 | – | – | matchup |
Grambling Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas Longhorns | L 62–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Grambling Tigers | L 87–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jackson State Tigers | L 65–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | W 77–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama State Hornets | W 65–63 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grambling Tigers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 60–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Grambling Tigers | 70–75 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Grambling Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Eagles1-1 4th · L1
- Golden Eagles rating1491 192nd of 365, 1 games
- Tigers1-1 3rd · L1
- Tigers rating1412 304th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $USMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Grambling Tigers 1-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $GRAMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Grambling Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Grambling Tigers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Grambling 54% to win. Projected score Grambling 74, Southern Miss 72; spread Grambling −2.5, total 146.5. Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Grambling Tigers, Thu, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ET.