SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 9, 2026
- Projected winnerMissouri 74%
- Projected scoreMissouri 77, SIU Edwardsville 69
- Model spreadMissouri −8 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
SIU Edwardsville Cougars or Missouri Tigers: the bandwagon
Axle 26–74Market –
SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Missouri Tigers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | SIUE | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SIUE– | MIZ– |
| Average win probability | SIUE– | MIZ– |
| Longest scoring run | SIUE– | MIZ– |
| Time leading | SIUE– | MIZ– |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MIZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 74% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 73% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 75% | +10 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MIZ 1561 · SIUE 1489
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Missouri Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 8-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Tigers 1561 (76th of 361), Cougars 1489 (194th). The Tigers are 1-0; the Cougars are 1-0. The Tigers have won 1 of their last 5; the Cougars 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 2, the Cougars 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | L 71–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 77–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Illinois Leathernecks | W 67–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee State Tigers | L 53–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | L 52–62 | – | – | matchup |
Missouri Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cleveland State Vikings | W 111–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami Hurricanes | L 66–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | L 72–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas Razorbacks | L 84–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 64–80 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Missouri Tigers | 50–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Missouri Tigers | 80–105 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
SIU Edwardsville Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Missouri Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cougars1-0 1st · W1
- Cougars rating1489 194th of 361, 0 games
- Tigers1-0 9th · W1
- Tigers rating1561 76th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SIUEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SIU Edwardsville Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Missouri Tigers 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MIZMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Missouri 74% to win. Projected score Missouri 77, SIU Edwardsville 69; spread Missouri −8, total 145.5. SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Missouri Tigers, Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM ET.