Richmond Spiders vs Southern Illinois Salukis prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026
- Projected winnerSouthern Illinois 68%
- Projected scoreSouthern Illinois 76, Richmond 70
- Model spreadSouthern Illinois −6.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Richmond Spiders or Southern Illinois Salukis: the bandwagon
Axle 32–68Market –
Richmond Spiders at Southern Illinois Salukis win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Richmond Spiders vs Southern Illinois Salukis live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Richmond Spiders vs Southern Illinois Salukis team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | RICH | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | RICH– | SIU– |
| Average win probability | RICH– | SIU– |
| Longest scoring run | RICH– | SIU– |
| Time leading | RICH– | SIU– |
Richmond Spiders vs Southern Illinois Salukis odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SIU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 68% | −2 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 70% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 73% | — |
- Ratings
- SIU 1514 · RICH 1492
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:25 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Richmond Spiders vs Southern Illinois Salukis prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Salukis a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Salukis 1514 (150th of 361), Spiders 1492 (190th). The Salukis are 1-0; the Spiders are 1-0. The Salukis have won 4 of their last 5; the Spiders 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Salukis won 0, the Spiders 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Richmond Spiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs | W 100–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L 67–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Duquesne Dukes | L 77–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Dayton Flyers | L 60–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L 66–69 | – | – | matchup |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Drake Bulldogs | L 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Evansville Purple Aces | W 81–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana State Sycamores | W 66–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Iowa Panthers | W 59–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Drake Bulldogs | W 66–61 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Illinois Salukis at Richmond Spiders | 84–93 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Richmond Spiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Southern Illinois Salukis: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Spiders1-0 8th · W1
- Spiders rating1492 190th of 361, 1 games
- Salukis1-0 6th · W1
- Salukis rating1514 150th of 361, 0 games
Richmond Spiders 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $RICHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Richmond Spiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SIUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Illinois Salukis bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Richmond Spiders at Southern Illinois Salukis
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Model: Southern Illinois 68% to win. Projected score Southern Illinois 76, Richmond 70; spread Southern Illinois −6.5, total 145.5. Richmond Spiders at Southern Illinois Salukis, Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET.