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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · John M. Belk Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Northern Iowa Panthers vs Davidson Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026

Northern Iowa at Davidson: Bandwagon's model has this one even.

Northern Iowa Panthers vs Davidson Wildcats odds and win probability

UNINorthern Iowa2-1 · won 3 of last 5
Tip-offJohn M. Belk Arena
DAVDavidson3-0 · won 3 straight

Axle has this one even: Northern Iowa 50%, Davidson 50%.

Northern Iowa 50%Davidson 50%
Projected score73–75Northern Iowa–Davidson
Model spreadDAV −1.5UNI +1.5
Model total148points
Model moneyline+100 / −100UNI / DAV

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

How the two sides compare

All CBB ratings
UNI and DAV side by side
UNIDAV
Rating1581 67th of 3651557 84th of 365
Record2-13-0
Last 5 games3-23-2
StreakW1W3

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementDAV win chance, 9 stored lines
+1 pts for DAV since Nov 10
57%44%
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: DAV 49%Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET: DAV 49%Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET: DAV 51%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: DAV 51%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: DAV 51%Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET: DAV 50%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: DAV 50%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: DAV 50%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: DAV 50%
Nov 10Now
Every stored line
StoredDAV winMove
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET50%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET50%0
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET50%0
Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET50%−1
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET51%+2
Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET49%—

Northern Iowa Panthers vs Davidson Wildcats prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 50% for the Wildcats. The model total is 148. Ratings: Wildcats 1557 (84th of 365), Panthers 1581 (67th). The Wildcats are 3-0; the Panthers are 2-1. The Wildcats have won 3 of their last 5; the Panthers 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Northern Iowa Panthers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Green Bay PhoenixW 89–76––matchup
at Furman PaladinsL 83–98––matchup
at St. John's Red StormL 53–79––matchup
at UIC FlamesW 84–69––matchup
at Bradley BravesW 73–69––matchup

Davidson Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Bradley BravesW 62–45––matchup
vs Mercer BearsW 88–76––matchup
at Washington State CougarsW 76–61––matchup
at Oklahoma State CowboysL 80–84––matchup
at Saint Joseph's HawksL 58–70––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Northern Iowa Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Davidson Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Panthers2-1 7th · W1
  • Panthers rating1581 67th of 365, 1 games
  • Wildcats3-0 1st · W3
  • Wildcats rating1557 84th of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Northern Iowa Panthers 2-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Iowa Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Panthers roster, schedule and more

Davidson Wildcats 3-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W3

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DAVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DAVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DAVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $DAVMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Davidson Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

Takes on Northern Iowa Panthers at Davidson Wildcats

Sign in to post a take on $UNIMBBDAVMBB261123: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: even. Projected score Davidson 75, Northern Iowa 73; spread Davidson −1.5, total 148. Northern Iowa Panthers at Davidson Wildcats, Mon, Nov 23, 11:00 AM ET.