Niagara Purple Eagles vs Delaware State Hornets prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Niagara at Delaware State: Bandwagon's model makes Delaware State a 64% favorite (Delaware State −5).
Niagara Purple Eagles vs Delaware State Hornets odds and win probability
Axle gives Delaware State a 64% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Delaware State
All CBB ratings| NIA | DSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1361 349th of 365 | 1353 353rd of 365 |
| Record | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | DSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 64% | +2 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | — |
Niagara Purple Eagles vs Delaware State Hornets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hornets a 5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 144. Ratings: Hornets 1353 (353rd of 365), Purple Eagles 1361 (349th). The Hornets are 1-2; the Purple Eagles are 0-2. The Hornets have won 2 of their last 5; the Purple Eagles 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Hornets won 0, the Purple Eagles 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Morgan State Bears | L 67–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | L 46–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Merrimack Warriors | L 66–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 78–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rider Broncs | L 62–67 | – | – | matchup |
Delaware State Hornets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgetown Hoyas | L 78–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Navy Midshipmen | L 60–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina Central Eagles | L 53–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Morgan State Bears | W 75–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | W 57–56 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware State Hornets at Niagara Purple Eagles | 57–68 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Niagara Purple Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Delaware State Hornets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Purple Eagles0-2 11th · L2
- Purple Eagles rating1361 349th of 365, 2 games
- Hornets1-2 5th · L2
- Hornets rating1353 353rd of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $NIAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Niagara Purple Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $DSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Delaware State Hornets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Niagara Purple Eagles at Delaware State Hornets
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Delaware State 64% to win. Projected score Delaware State 75, Niagara 69; spread Delaware State −5, total 144. Niagara Purple Eagles at Delaware State Hornets, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.