Morehead State Eagles vs Elon Phoenix prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Morehead State at Elon: Bandwagon's model makes Elon a 67% favorite (Elon −6).
Morehead State Eagles vs Elon Phoenix odds and win probability
Axle gives Elon a 67% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Elon
All CBB ratings| MORE | ELON | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1457 244th of 365 | 1480 214th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ELON win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 67% | −2 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | — |
Morehead State Eagles vs Elon Phoenix prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Phoenix a 6-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Phoenix 1480 (214th of 365), Eagles 1457 (244th). The Phoenix are 2-1; the Eagles are 1-2. The Phoenix have won 2 of their last 5; the Eagles 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Morehead State Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Louisville Cardinals | L 57–107 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | L 58–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee State Tigers | L 67–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W 66–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Little Rock Trojans | W 76–70 | – | – | matchup |
Elon Phoenix
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at George Washington Revolutionaries | L 50–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Greensboro Spartans | W 74–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Columbia Lions | W 84–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at William & Mary Tribe | L 62–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks | L 57–76 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Morehead State Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Elon Phoenix: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles1-2 5th · L1
- Eagles rating1457 244th of 365, 2 games
- Phoenix2-1 4th · L1
- Phoenix rating1480 214th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MOREMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Morehead State Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Elon Phoenix 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ELONMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Elon Phoenix bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Morehead State Eagles at Elon Phoenix
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Elon 67% to win. Projected score Elon 76, Morehead State 70; spread Elon −6, total 145.5. Morehead State Eagles at Elon Phoenix, Sat, Nov 21, 7:00 PM ET.