Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Mississippi Valley State at Arkansas: Bandwagon's model makes Arkansas a 96% favorite (Arkansas −21.5).
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Arkansas Razorbacks odds and win probability
Axle gives Arkansas a 96% chance to win, by about 21 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Arkansas
All CBB ratings| MVSU | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1245 365th of 365 | 1644 28th of 365 |
| Record | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ARK win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET | 96% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 95% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 95% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:50 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:40 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:04 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 96% | — |
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Razorbacks a 21.5-point favorite at home, with a 96% chance to win. The model total is 147.5. Ratings: Razorbacks 1644 (28th of 365), Delta Devils 1245 (365th). The Razorbacks are 1-1; the Delta Devils are 0-2. The Razorbacks have won 3 of their last 5; the Delta Devils 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Washington Huskies | L 64–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 57–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Grambling Tigers | L 52–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jackson State Tigers | L 77–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alcorn State Braves | L 64–67 | – | – | matchup |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Virginia Cavaliers | L 72–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W 106–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 88–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs High Point Panthers | W 94–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | W 97–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arkansas Razorbacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Delta Devils0-2 8th · L2
- Delta Devils rating1245 365th of 365, 2 games
- Razorbacks1-1 16th · L1
- Razorbacks rating1644 28th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $MVSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 16th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ARKMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas Razorbacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Arkansas Razorbacks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Arkansas 96% to win. Projected score Arkansas 84, Mississippi Valley State 63; spread Arkansas −21.5, total 147.5. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Arkansas Razorbacks, Fri, Nov 20, 8:00 PM ET.