Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Mississippi State at Tulsa: Bandwagon's model makes Tulsa a 63% favorite (Tulsa −5).
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane odds and win probability
Axle gives Tulsa a 63% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
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Why Axle has Tulsa
All CBB ratings| MSST | TLSA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1530 132nd of 365 | 1602 50th of 365 |
| Record | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | W2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TLSA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 63% | −2 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 65% | — |
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Hurricane a 5-point favorite, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 148.5. Ratings: Golden Hurricane 1602 (50th of 365), Bulldogs 1530 (132nd). The Golden Hurricane are 2-0; the Bulldogs are 3-0. The Golden Hurricane have won 4 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Jackson State Tigers | W 98–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northwestern State Demons | W 82–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | W 106–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | L 61–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Bulldogs | L 96–102 | – | – | matchup |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 94–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | L 86–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico Lobos | W 74–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wichita State Shockers | W 83–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNLV Rebels | W 77–66 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Mississippi State Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulldogs3-0 6th · W3
- Bulldogs rating1530 132nd of 365, 3 games
- Golden Hurricane2-0 2nd · W2
- Golden Hurricane rating1602 50th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $MSSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mississippi State Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $TLSAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Mississippi State Bulldogs at Tulsa Golden Hurricane
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Tulsa 63% to win. Projected score Tulsa 77, Mississippi State 72; spread Tulsa −5, total 148.5. Mississippi State Bulldogs at Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Fri, Nov 20, 7:30 PM ET.