Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs USC Trojans prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Louisiana at USC: Bandwagon's model makes USC an 82% favorite (USC −11).
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs USC Trojans odds and win probability
Axle gives USC a 82% chance to win, by about 11 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has USC
All CBB ratings| UL | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1398 318th of 365 | 1537 119th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | USC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 82% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 81% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 82% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 81% | — |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs USC Trojans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Trojans a 11-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 147. Ratings: Trojans 1537 (119th of 365), Ragin' Cajuns 1398 (318th). The Trojans are 2-0; the Ragin' Cajuns are 1-2. The Trojans have won 1 of their last 5; the Ragin' Cajuns 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | L 60–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Akron Zips | L 61–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 72–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia State Panthers | W 84–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 58–81 | – | – | matchup |
USC Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at USC Trojans | L 86–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Milwaukee Panthers | W 95–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Huskies | L 79–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCLA Bruins | L 68–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Huskies | L 72–91 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
USC Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Ragin' Cajuns1-2 8th · W1
- Ragin' Cajuns rating1398 318th of 365, 2 games
- Trojans2-0 10th · W2
- Trojans rating1537 119th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ULMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
USC Trojans 2-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $USCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the USC Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at USC Trojans
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.