Lindenwood Lions vs Northern Iowa Panthers prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026
Lindenwood at Northern Iowa: Bandwagon's model makes Northern Iowa a 78% favorite (Northern Iowa −9.5).
Lindenwood Lions vs Northern Iowa Panthers odds and win probability
Axle gives Northern Iowa a 78% chance to win, by about 10 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Northern Iowa
All CBB ratings| LIN | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1485 204th of 365 | 1581 67th of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UNI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 78% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 77% | — |
Lindenwood Lions vs Northern Iowa Panthers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Panthers a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 148.5. Ratings: Panthers 1581 (67th of 365), Lions 1485 (204th). The Panthers are 2-1; the Lions are 2-1. The Panthers have won 3 of their last 5; the Lions 0 of their last 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Lindenwood Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at TCU Horned Frogs | L 59–98 | – | – | matchup |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Green Bay Phoenix | W 89–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Furman Paladins | L 83–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. John's Red Storm | L 53–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UIC Flames | W 84–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bradley Braves | W 73–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Lindenwood Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Northern Iowa Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lions2-1 1st · W2
- Lions rating1485 204th of 365, 1 games
- Panthers2-1 7th · W1
- Panthers rating1581 67th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Lindenwood Lions 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $LINMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lindenwood Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UNIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Iowa Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Lindenwood Lions at Northern Iowa Panthers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Northern Iowa 78% to win. Projected score Northern Iowa 79, Lindenwood 69; spread Northern Iowa −9.5, total 148.5. Lindenwood Lions at Northern Iowa Panthers, Tue, Nov 17, 8:00 PM ET.