Kentucky Wildcats vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Kentucky at Indiana: Bandwagon's model makes Indiana a 61% favorite (Indiana −4.5).
Kentucky Wildcats vs Indiana Hoosiers odds and win probability
Axle gives Indiana a 61% chance to win, by about 4 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Indiana
All CBB ratings| UK | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1611 45th of 365 | 1573 77th of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | IU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 61% | +14 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 47% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 46% | — |
Kentucky Wildcats vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hoosiers a 4.5-point favorite, with a 61% chance to win. The model total is 149.5. Ratings: Hoosiers 1573 (77th of 365), Wildcats 1611 (45th). The Hoosiers are 3-0; the Wildcats are 2-1. The Hoosiers have won 3 of their last 5; the Wildcats 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Hoosiers won 0, the Wildcats 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Kentucky Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | L 69–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | W 89–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Manhattan Jaspers | W 85–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 63–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Santa Clara Broncos | W 89–84 | – | – | matchup |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Syracuse Orange | W 83–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bellarmine Knights | W 92–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 91–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northwestern Wildcats | L 61–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ohio State Buckeyes | L 78–91 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Hoosiers at Kentucky Wildcats | 60–72 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Kentucky Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Indiana Hoosiers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wildcats2-1 13th · L1
- Wildcats rating1611 45th of 365, 2 games
- Hoosiers3-0 1st · W3
- Hoosiers rating1573 77th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 13th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UKMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kentucky Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Indiana Hoosiers 3-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $IUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Indiana Hoosiers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Kentucky Wildcats at Indiana Hoosiers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Indiana 61% to win. Projected score Indiana 77, Kentucky 73; spread Indiana −4.5, total 149.5. Kentucky Wildcats at Indiana Hoosiers, Fri, Nov 20, 8:00 PM ET.