Harvard Crimson vs Holy Cross Crusaders prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Harvard at Holy Cross: Bandwagon's model makes Harvard a 59% favorite (Harvard −1).
Harvard Crimson vs Holy Cross Crusaders odds and win probability
Axle gives Harvard a 59% chance to win, by about 1.2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Harvard
All CBB ratings| HARV | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1547 97th of 365 | 1366 345th of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | HC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 41% | +2 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:40 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 39% | — |
Harvard Crimson vs Holy Cross Crusaders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Crimson a 1-point favorite, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Crusaders 1366 (345th of 365), Crimson 1547 (97th). The Crusaders are 0-2; the Crimson are 2-1. The Crusaders have won 1 of their last 5; the Crimson 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Crusaders won 1, the Crimson 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Harvard Crimson
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Northeastern Huskies | L 70–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pennsylvania Quakers | L 60–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbia Lions | W 81–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pennsylvania Quakers | L 61–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Princeton Tigers | W 58–56 | – | – | matchup |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Villanova Wildcats | L 66–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rhode Island Rams | L 59–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L 66–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lafayette Leopards | W 82–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | L 62–76 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holy Cross Crusaders at Harvard Crimson | 53–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| Harvard Crimson at Holy Cross Crusaders | 67–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| Holy Cross Crusaders at Harvard Crimson | 72–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| Harvard Crimson at Holy Cross Crusaders | 72–38 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Harvard Crimson: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Holy Cross Crusaders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Crimson2-1 4th · L1
- Crimson rating1547 97th of 365, 0 games
- Crusaders0-2 9th · L2
- Crusaders rating1366 345th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Harvard Crimson 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $HARVMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Harvard Crimson bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $HCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Holy Cross Crusaders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Harvard Crimson at Holy Cross Crusaders
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Harvard 59% to win. Projected score Harvard 74, Holy Cross 73; spread Harvard −1, total 146.5. Harvard Crimson at Holy Cross Crusaders, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.