Green Bay Phoenix vs Florida State Seminoles prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Green Bay at Florida State: Bandwagon's model makes Florida State an 88% favorite (Florida State −14.5).
Green Bay Phoenix vs Florida State Seminoles odds and win probability
Axle gives Florida State a 88% chance to win, by about 14 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Florida State
All CBB ratings| GB | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1490 196th of 365 | 1582 65th of 365 |
| Record | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | FSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 88% | +13 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 75% | −2 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 77% | −2 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 79% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 80% | +1 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 79% | — |
Green Bay Phoenix vs Florida State Seminoles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Seminoles a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 88% chance to win. The model total is 150. Ratings: Seminoles 1582 (65th of 365), Phoenix 1490 (196th). The Seminoles are 2-1; the Phoenix are 2-2. The Seminoles have won 2 of their last 5; the Phoenix 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Green Bay Phoenix
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Northern Iowa Panthers | L 76–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Thomas Tommies | W 76–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | L 64–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Kentucky Norse | L 76–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | W 64–56 | – | – | matchup |
Florida State Seminoles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Florida Gators | L 72–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Troy Trojans | W 91–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida State Seminoles | L 69–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Duke Blue Devils | L 79–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs California Golden Bears | W 95–89 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Green Bay Phoenix: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Florida State Seminoles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Phoenix2-2 3rd · L1
- Phoenix rating1490 196th of 365, 2 games
- Seminoles2-1 15th · L1
- Seminoles rating1582 65th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $GBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Green Bay Phoenix bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 15th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $FSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Florida State Seminoles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Green Bay Phoenix at Florida State Seminoles
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Florida State 88% to win. Projected score Florida State 82, Green Bay 68; spread Florida State −14.5, total 150. Green Bay Phoenix at Florida State Seminoles, Fri, Nov 20, 8:00 PM ET.