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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Truist Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Georgia Southern Eagles vs Northern Kentucky Norse prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026

Georgia Southern at Northern Kentucky: Bandwagon's model makes Northern Kentucky a 54% favorite (Northern Kentucky −2).

Georgia Southern Eagles vs Northern Kentucky Norse odds and win probability

GASO · AWAYGeorgia Southern1-2 · won 2 of last 5
Tip-offTruist Arena
NKU · HOMENorthern Kentucky2-2 · won 2 of last 5

Axle gives Northern Kentucky a 54% chance to win, by about 2 points.

Georgia Southern 46%Northern Kentucky 54%
Projected score76–79Georgia Southern–Northern Kentucky
Model spreadNKU −2GASO +2
Model total155points
Model moneyline+115 / −115GASO / NKU

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has Northern Kentucky

All CBB ratings
GASO and NKU side by side
GASONKU
Rating1494 186th of 3651525 141st of 365
Record1-22-2
Last 5 games2-32-3
StreakL2L2
Home fieldNoYes

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementNKU win chance, 20 stored lines
−15 pts for NKU since Nov 10
75%48%
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: NKU 69%Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET: NKU 69%Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET: NKU 69%Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET: NKU 69%Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET: NKU 69%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: NKU 69%Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET: NKU 69%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: NKU 67%Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET: NKU 54%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: NKU 54%Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET: NKU 54%Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET: NKU 54%
Nov 10Now
Every stored line
StoredNKU winMove
Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET54%0
Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET54%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET54%0
Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET54%0
Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET54%0
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET54%0
Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET54%0
Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET54%0
Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET54%0
Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET54%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET54%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET54%−13
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET67%−2
Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET69%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET69%0
Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET69%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET69%0
Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET69%0
Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET69%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET69%—

Georgia Southern Eagles vs Northern Kentucky Norse prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Norse a 2-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 155. Ratings: Norse 1525 (141st of 365), Eagles 1494 (186th). The Norse are 2-2; the Eagles are 1-2. The Norse have won 2 of their last 5; the Eagles 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Georgia Southern Eagles

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Mercer BearsL 91–97––matchup
at Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsL 83–95––matchup
vs Ball State CardinalsW 67–55––matchup
at Troy TrojansL 61–77––matchup
at Marshall Thundering HerdW 82–78––matchup

Northern Kentucky Norse

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Saint Louis BillikensL 63–125––matchup
at Texas A&M AggiesL 67–104––matchup
at South Dakota CoyotesW 102–94––matchup
vs UTEP MinersW 84–76––matchup
at Wright State RaidersL 90–103––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Georgia Southern Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Northern Kentucky Norse: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Eagles1-2 7th · L2
  • Eagles rating1494 186th of 365, 2 games
  • Norse2-2 4th · L2
  • Norse rating1525 141st of 365, 3 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Georgia Southern Eagles 1-2

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GASOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GASOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GASOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $GASOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia Southern Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Eagles roster, schedule and more

Northern Kentucky Norse 2-2

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak L2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NKUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NKUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NKUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NKUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Kentucky Norse bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Norse roster, schedule and more

Takes on Georgia Southern Eagles at Northern Kentucky Norse

Sign in to post a take on $GASOMBBNKUMBB261124: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: Northern Kentucky 54% to win. Projected score Northern Kentucky 79, Georgia Southern 76; spread Northern Kentucky −2, total 155. Georgia Southern Eagles at Northern Kentucky Norse, Mon, Nov 23, 7:00 PM ET.