Fairfield Stags vs Long Island University Sharks prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Fairfield at Long Island University: Bandwagon's model makes Long Island University a 68% favorite (Long Island University −6.5).
Fairfield Stags vs Long Island University Sharks odds and win probability
Axle gives Long Island University a 68% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Long Island University
All CBB ratings| FAIR | LIU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1495 181st of 365 | 1484 209th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | LIU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 68% | +4 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 64% | −2 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 66% | — |
Fairfield Stags vs Long Island University Sharks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Sharks a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 141.5. Ratings: Sharks 1484 (209th of 365), Stags 1495 (181st). The Sharks are 0-4; the Stags are 1-2. The Sharks have won 0 of their last 5; the Stags 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Fairfield Stags
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Wisconsin Badgers | L 42–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bryant Bulldogs | W 68–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vermont Catamounts | L 67–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Siena Saints | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Saint Peter's Peacocks | W 74–55 | – | – | matchup |
Long Island University Sharks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Towson Tigers | L 46–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at La Salle Explorers | L 80–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seton Hall Pirates | L 60–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Atlantic Owls | L 60–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 58–92 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Fairfield Stags: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Long Island University Sharks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Stags1-2 7th · L1
- Stags rating1495 181st of 365, 2 games
- Sharks0-4 9th · L4
- Sharks rating1484 209th of 365, 4 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Fairfield Stags 1-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $FAIRMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fairfield Stags bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L4
No stances yet today on $LIUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Long Island University Sharks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Fairfield Stags at Long Island University Sharks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Long Island University 68% to win. Projected score Long Island University 74, Fairfield 68; spread Long Island University −6.5, total 141.5. Fairfield Stags at Long Island University Sharks, Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET.