Colorado State Rams vs Arizona Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Colorado State at Arizona: Bandwagon's model makes Arizona a 74% favorite (Arizona −8).
Colorado State Rams vs Arizona Wildcats odds and win probability
Axle gives Arizona a 74% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Arizona
All CBB ratings| CSU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1579 68th of 365 | 1728 3rd of 365 |
| Record | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | W2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ARIZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 74% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | — |
Colorado State Rams vs Arizona Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 8-point favorite, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 149. Ratings: Wildcats 1728 (3rd of 365), Rams 1579 (68th). The Wildcats are 2-1; the Rams are 2-0. The Wildcats have won 3 of their last 5; the Rams 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Colorado State Rams
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Idaho Vandals | W 78–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Montana State Bobcats | W 84–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Joseph's Hawks | L 64–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Diego State Aztecs | L 62–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fresno State Bulldogs | W 67–63 | – | – | matchup |
Arizona Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W 90–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal Poly Mustangs | W 104–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 75–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan Wolverines | L 73–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Purdue Boilermakers | W 79–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Colorado State Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arizona Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rams2-0 5th · W2
- Rams rating1579 68th of 365, 2 games
- Wildcats2-1 12th · W2
- Wildcats rating1728 3rd of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $CSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado State Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Arizona Wildcats 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $ARIZMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Colorado State Rams at Arizona Wildcats
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Arizona 74% to win. Projected score Arizona 79, Colorado State 70; spread Arizona −8, total 149. Colorado State Rams at Arizona Wildcats, Mon, Nov 23, 11:30 PM ET.