Central Arkansas Bears vs North Florida Ospreys prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Central Arkansas at North Florida: Bandwagon's model makes Central Arkansas a 54% favorite (even).
Central Arkansas Bears vs North Florida Ospreys odds and win probability
Axle gives Central Arkansas a 55% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Central Arkansas
All CBB ratings| CARK | UNF | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1524 142nd of 365 | 1387 330th of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 4 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UNF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 46% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 45% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 46% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 45% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 46% | — |
Central Arkansas Bears vs North Florida Ospreys prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bears the favorite, with a 54% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Ospreys 1387 (330th of 365), Bears 1524 (142nd). The Ospreys are 1-2; the Bears are 2-1. The Ospreys have won 1 of their last 5; the Bears 4 of their last 5. The two have met 5 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Ospreys won 1, the Bears 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Central Arkansas Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 60–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W 85–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | W 73–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bellarmine Knights | W 86–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Austin Peay Governors | W 93–88 | – | – | matchup |
North Florida Ospreys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Miami Hurricanes | L 51–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 63–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | W 71–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Georgia Wolves | L 85–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville Dolphins | L 61–85 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys at Central Arkansas Bears | 69–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| North Florida Ospreys at Central Arkansas Bears | 83–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| Central Arkansas Bears at North Florida Ospreys | 80–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| Central Arkansas Bears at North Florida Ospreys | 79–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| North Florida Ospreys at Central Arkansas Bears | 85–88 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Central Arkansas Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
North Florida Ospreys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bears2-1 3rd · W1
- Bears rating1524 142nd of 365, 2 games
- Ospreys1-2 6th · L2
- Ospreys rating1387 330th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CARKMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Central Arkansas Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $UNFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Florida Ospreys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Central Arkansas Bears at North Florida Ospreys
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.