Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Western Illinois Leathernecks prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026
- Projected winnerWestern Illinois 61%
- Projected scoreWestern Illinois 75, Cal State Bakersfield 71
- Model spreadWestern Illinois −4.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners or Western Illinois Leathernecks: the bandwagon
Axle 39–61Market –
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Western Illinois Leathernecks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Western Illinois Leathernecks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Western Illinois Leathernecks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CSUB | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CSUB– | WIU– |
| Average win probability | CSUB– | WIU– |
| Longest scoring run | CSUB– | WIU– |
| Time leading | CSUB– | WIU– |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Western Illinois Leathernecks odds
Every stored line
| Stored | WIU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 61% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 62% | — |
- Ratings
- WIU 1323 · CSUB 1353
- Home spread
- −4.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Western Illinois Leathernecks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Leathernecks a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 61% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Leathernecks 1323 (355th of 361), Roadrunners 1353 (351st). The Leathernecks are 0-1; the Roadrunners are 0-0. The Leathernecks have won 1 of their last 5; the Roadrunners 0 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Leathernecks won 0, the Roadrunners 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Cal Poly Mustangs | L 76–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Northridge Matadors | L 84–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Long Beach State Beach | L 87–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC San Diego Tritons | L 72–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Fullerton Titans | L 80–88 | – | – | matchup |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Valparaiso Beacons | L 58–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L 47–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Morehead State Eagles | L 59–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Little Rock Trojans | L 58–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 79–70 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks at Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 58–74 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Western Illinois Leathernecks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Roadrunners0-0 10th · -
- Roadrunners rating1353 351st of 361, 0 games
- Leathernecks0-1 9th · L1
- Leathernecks rating1323 355th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak -
No stances yet today on $CSUBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $WIUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Illinois Leathernecks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Western Illinois 61% to win. Projected score Western Illinois 75, Cal State Bakersfield 71; spread Western Illinois −4.5, total 145.5. Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Western Illinois Leathernecks, Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET.