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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Pauley Pavilion · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs UCLA Bruins prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model

Arkansas-Pine Bluff at UCLA: Bandwagon's model makes UCLA a 90% favorite (UCLA −15.5); Kalshi prices them at 100%; the DraftKings line is UCLA −44.5 with a total of 157.5, as of Nov 11, 3:06 a.m. ET.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs UCLA Bruins model odds and win probability

UAPB · AWAYArkansas-Pine Bluff0-2 · won 1 of last 5
Tip-offPauley Pavilion
UCLA · HOMEUCLA2-0 · won 3 of last 5

Axle gives UCLA a 90% chance to win, by about 16 points.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff 10%UCLA 90%
Projected score68–84Arkansas-Pine Bluff–UCLA
Model spreadUCLA −15.5UAPB +15.5
Model total151.5points
Model moneyline+879 / −879UAPB / UCLA

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Axle versus the DraftKings line, the markets and the crowd

Every CBB market

Each bar is the chance that UCLA win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 90%.

Axle 2.0Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET90%
KalshiNov 11, 2:51 AM ET100%

The largest gap is 10 points: Kalshi has UCLA at 100%, Axle at 90%.

Axle and the DraftKings line for Arkansas-Pine Bluff at UCLA
AxleDraftKings line
SpreadUCLA −15.5UCLA −44.5
Total151.5157.5

DraftKings line: the spread, total and moneylines DraftKings published for this game, as read from a public league scoreboard feed, as of ; these figures have stood since . Shown for comparison; Axle never reads them (how the comparison works).

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

▲ Arkansas-Pine BluffAxle 10%▲ UCLAAxle's side · 90%

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has UCLA

All CBB ratings
UAPB and UCLA side by side
UAPBUCLA
Rating1389 325th of 3651643 29th of 365
Record0-22-0
Last 5 games1-43-2
StreakL2W2
Home fieldNoYes

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementUCLA win chance, 142 stored lines
+25 pts for UCLA since Oct 29
96%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: UCLA 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: UCLA 90%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: UCLA 86%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 5, 8:13 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 5, 9:28 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 5, 9:48 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 5, 10:17 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 5, 11:26 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET: UCLA 88%Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET: UCLA 89%Nov 6, 9:56 PM ET: UCLA 89%Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET: UCLA 89%Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET: UCLA 89%Nov 6, 11:44 PM ET: UCLA 89%Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET: UCLA 90%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: UCLA 90%
Oct 29Nov 4Now
Every stored line
StoredUCLA winMove
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET90%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET90%0
Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET90%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET90%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET90%0
Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET90%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET90%0
Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET90%0
Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET90%0
Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET90%0
Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET90%0
Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET90%0
Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET90%0
Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET90%0
Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET90%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET90%0
Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET90%0
Nov 8, 12:12 AM ET90%0
Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET90%0
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET90%0
Nov 7, 12:49 AM ET90%+1
Nov 6, 11:44 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 11:14 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 10:44 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 10:30 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 10:07 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 9:56 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 9:47 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 9:31 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 9:26 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 8:36 PM ET89%0
Nov 6, 7:22 PM ET89%+1
Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET88%0
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 6, 12:54 AM ET88%0
Nov 5, 11:26 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 11:16 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 10:57 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 10:17 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 10:08 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 9:53 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 9:48 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 9:43 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 9:33 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 9:28 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 9:13 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 8:58 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 8:13 PM ET88%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET88%+2
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET86%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET86%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET86%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET86%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET86%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET90%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET90%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET90%+25
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs UCLA odds on Kalshi

Every Men's college basketball market

Kalshi prices Bruins at 100%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 90%.

Prices read: Kalshi ; Axle 2.0 .

SourceUAPBUCLAPrice read
Kalshi0%100%
Bandwagon model10%90% · model 2.0
Kalshi minus model, UCLA: +10

Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs UCLA Bruins prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins a 15.5-point favorite at home, with a 90% chance to win. The model total is 151.5. Ratings: Bruins 1643 (29th of 365), Golden Lions 1389 (325th). The Bruins are 2-0; the Golden Lions are 0-2. The Bruins have won 3 of their last 5; the Golden Lions 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Baylor BearsL 53–109––matchup
at Arkansas RazorbacksL 61–106––matchup
at Southern JaguarsL 81–84––matchup
at Alcorn State BravesW 83–48––matchup
at Jackson State TigersL 78–81––matchup

UCLA Bruins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs North Florida OspreysW 114–63––matchup
vs Arizona WildcatsW 84–75––matchup
at UConn HuskiesL 57–73––matchup
vs UCF KnightsW 75–71––matchup
vs Purdue BoilermakersL 66–73––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

UCLA Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Golden Lions0-2 7th · L2
  • Golden Lions rating1389 325th of 365, 2 games
  • Bruins2-0 9th · W2
  • Bruins rating1643 29th of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

Knights vs LionsAxle: Lions 71%Kalshi 84%Roos vs RattlersAxle: Rattlers 69%Kalshi 30%Big Green vs Great DanesAxle: Great Danes 62%Kalshi 46%Cardinals vs AggiesAxle: Aggies 80%Kalshi 88%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff pageUCLA pageCBB odds boardCBB on Kalshi and PolymarketWeekly pick'emAxle's recordOdds calculators

The bandwagon on each team

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 0-2

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UAPBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UAPBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UAPBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UAPBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Golden Lions roster, schedule and more

UCLA Bruins 2-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UCLAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UCLAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UCLAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UCLAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UCLA Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Bruins roster, schedule and more

Takes on Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at UCLA Bruins

Sign in to post a take on $UAPBMBBUCLAMBB261111: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: UCLA 90% to win. Projected score UCLA 84, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 68; spread UCLA −15.5, total 151.5. Kalshi 100% for UCLA. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at UCLA Bruins, Wed, Nov 11, 9:00 PM ET.