Air Force Falcons vs Pacific Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
Air Force at Pacific: Bandwagon's model makes Pacific an 86% favorite (Pacific −13).
Air Force Falcons vs Pacific Tigers odds and win probability
Axle gives Pacific a 86% chance to win, by about 13 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Pacific
All CBB ratings| AF | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1324 358th of 365 | 1513 156th of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | PAC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 86% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 87% | +3 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 84% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 85% | +1 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 12:49 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:44 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:44 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:07 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:51 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:31 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:01 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:12 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 12:54 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 10:57 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 10:17 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 10:08 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:33 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:28 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:13 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 8:58 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 8:08 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 7:33 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:51 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 84% | — |
Air Force Falcons vs Pacific Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 13-point favorite at home, with a 86% chance to win. The model total is 145. Ratings: Tigers 1513 (156th of 365), Falcons 1324 (358th). The Tigers are 2-0; the Falcons are 2-1. The Tigers have won 2 of their last 5; the Falcons 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Falcons 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Air Force Falcons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Idaho State Bengals | W 89–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wright State Raiders | L 71–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | L 45–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | L 59–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Grand Canyon Lopes | L 60–86 | – | – | matchup |
Pacific Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Bradley Braves | W 63–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Santa Clara Broncos | L 68–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle U Redhawks | W 61–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Francisco Dons | L 61–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 62–71 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific Tigers at Air Force Falcons | 80–65 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Air Force Falcons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Pacific Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Falcons2-1 6th · W2
- Falcons rating1324 358th of 365, 2 games
- Tigers2-0 3rd · W2
- Tigers rating1513 156th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $AFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Air Force Falcons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Pacific Tigers 2-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $PACMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pacific Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Air Force Falcons at Pacific Tigers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Pacific 86% to win. Projected score Pacific 79, Air Force 66; spread Pacific −13, total 145. Air Force Falcons at Pacific Tigers, Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET.