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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Convocation Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Xavier Musketeers vs Ohio Bobcats prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026

Xavier at Ohio: Bandwagon's model makes Ohio a 68% favorite (Ohio −7.5).

Xavier Musketeers vs Ohio Bobcats odds and win probability

XAV · AWAYXavier3-0 · won 3 straight
Tip-offConvocation Center
OHIO · HOMEOhio2-0 · won 3 of last 5

Axle gives Ohio a 68% chance to win, by about 8 points.

Xavier 32%Ohio 68%
Projected score61–69Xavier–Ohio
Model spreadOHIO −7.5XAV +7.5
Model total129.5points
Model moneyline+209 / −209XAV / OHIO

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has Ohio

All WCBB ratings
XAV and OHIO side by side
XAVOHIO
Rating1472 194th of 3571498 171st of 357
Record3-02-0
Last 5 games3-23-2
StreakW3W2
Home fieldNoYes
Meetings won10

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementOHIO win chance, 33 stored lines
−1 pts for OHIO since Nov 8
74%62%
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET: OHIO 69%Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: OHIO 68%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: OHIO 68%
Nov 8Nov 9Now
Every stored line
StoredOHIO winMove
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET68%0
Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET68%−1
Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET69%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET69%0
Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET69%—

Xavier Musketeers vs Ohio Bobcats prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bobcats a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 129.5. Ratings: Bobcats 1498 (171st of 357), Musketeers 1472 (194th). The Bobcats are 2-0; the Musketeers are 3-0. The Bobcats have won 3 of their last 5; the Musketeers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bobcats won 0, the Musketeers 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Xavier Musketeers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Akron ZipsW 70–54––matchup
at Northwestern WildcatsW 91–78––matchup
at Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsW 75–63––matchup
at St. John's Red StormL 48–53––matchup
vs Creighton BluejaysL 71–73––matchup

Ohio Bobcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs UL Monroe WarhawksW 57–46––matchup
vs UMBC RetrieversL 58–62––matchup
at Miami (OH) RedHawksL 52–80––matchup
at Central Michigan ChippewasW 89–88––matchup
vs Miami (OH) RedHawksW 77–62––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Ohio Bobcats at Xavier Musketeers53–74––matchup

Injuries

Xavier Musketeers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Ohio Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Musketeers3-0 4th · W3
  • Musketeers rating1472 194th of 357, 3 games
  • Bobcats2-0 3rd · W2
  • Bobcats rating1498 171st of 357, 1 games

More WCBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Xavier Musketeers 3-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W3

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $XAVWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $XAVWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $XAVWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $XAVWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Xavier Musketeers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Musketeers roster, schedule and more

Ohio Bobcats 2-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OHIOWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OHIOWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OHIOWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $OHIOWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bobcats roster, schedule and more

Takes on Xavier Musketeers at Ohio Bobcats

Sign in to post a take on $XAVWBBOHIOWBB261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.