UT Arlington Mavericks vs Tennessee State Lady Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
UT Arlington at Tennessee State: Bandwagon's model makes UT Arlington a 51% favorite (Tennessee State −2.5).
UT Arlington Mavericks vs Tennessee State Lady Tigers odds and win probability
Axle gives UT Arlington a 51% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UT Arlington
All WCBB ratings| UTA | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1431 246th of 357 | 1343 321st of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TNST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 49% | +3 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:38 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 46% | — |
UT Arlington Mavericks vs Tennessee State Lady Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mavericks the favorite, with a 51% chance to win; its spread is Lady Tigers −2.5. The model total is 134. Ratings: Lady Tigers 1343 (321st of 357), Mavericks 1431 (246th). The Lady Tigers are 1-2; the Mavericks are 1-2. The Lady Tigers have won 1 of their last 5; the Mavericks 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Lady Tigers won 0, the Mavericks 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Wyoming Cowgirls | L 64–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lamar Cardinals | W 79–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | L 61–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Abilene Christian Wildcats | L 50–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 70–65 | – | – | matchup |
Tennessee State Lady Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | L 78–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at William & Mary Tribe | L 54–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Martin Skyhawks | W 67–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L 52–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L 52–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee State Lady Tigers at UT Arlington Mavericks | 58–78 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UT Arlington Mavericks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tennessee State Lady Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mavericks1-2 9th · L1
- Mavericks rating1431 246th of 357, 2 games
- Lady Tigers1-2 4th · L2
- Lady Tigers rating1343 321st of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UTAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Arlington Mavericks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $TNSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee State Lady Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UT Arlington Mavericks at Tennessee State Lady Tigers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.