Toledo Rockets vs Navy Midshipmen prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Toledo at Navy: Bandwagon's model makes Navy a 59% favorite (Navy −5).
Toledo Rockets vs Navy Midshipmen odds and win probability
Axle gives Navy a 59% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Navy
All WCBB ratings| TOL | NAVY | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1521 150th of 357 | 1569 107th of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | NAVY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 59% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | — |
Toledo Rockets vs Navy Midshipmen prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Midshipmen a 5-point favorite, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 134.5. Ratings: Midshipmen 1569 (107th of 357), Rockets 1521 (150th). The Midshipmen are 1-1; the Rockets are 1-2. The Midshipmen have won 2 of their last 5; the Rockets 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Midshipmen won 0, the Rockets 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Toledo Rockets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Youngstown State Penguins | W 64–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan State Spartans | L 64–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | L 57–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 58–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ball State Cardinals | W 69–65 | – | – | matchup |
Navy Midshipmen
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Temple Owls | L 77–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W 91–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Harvard Crimson | L 52–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L 76–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston University Terriers | W 76–66 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets at Navy Midshipmen | 58–51 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Toledo Rockets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Navy Midshipmen: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rockets1-2 7th · W1
- Rockets rating1521 150th of 357, 2 games
- Midshipmen1-1 5th · L1
- Midshipmen rating1569 107th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Toledo Rockets 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TOLWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Toledo Rockets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Navy Midshipmen 1-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NAVYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Navy Midshipmen bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Toledo Rockets at Navy Midshipmen
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.