Toledo Rockets vs Detroit Mercy Titans prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Toledo at Detroit Mercy: Bandwagon's model makes Toledo an 85% favorite (Toledo −9).
Toledo Rockets vs Detroit Mercy Titans odds and win probability
Axle gives Toledo a 85% chance to win, by about 9 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Toledo
All WCBB ratings| TOL | DETM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1521 150th of 357 | 1341 322nd of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | DETM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 15% | −14 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 29% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 30% | −1 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 31% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 30% | −1 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 31% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 30% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:53 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:49 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 31% | +2 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 29% | +2 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:04 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:59 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:49 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:35 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:52 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:12 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:07 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:02 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:57 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:37 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:01 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 6:04 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:49 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:53 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 27% | — |
Toledo Rockets vs Detroit Mercy Titans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rockets a 9-point favorite, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 132. Ratings: Titans 1341 (322nd of 357), Rockets 1521 (150th). The Titans are 2-2; the Rockets are 1-2. The Titans have won 2 of their last 5; the Rockets 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Titans won 0, the Rockets 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Toledo Rockets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Youngstown State Penguins | W 64–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan State Spartans | L 64–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | L 57–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 58–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ball State Cardinals | W 69–65 | – | – | matchup |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 60–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Valparaiso Beacons | W 67–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois Fighting Illini | L 50–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 57–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Panthers | W 69–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Mercy Titans at Toledo Rockets | 52–66 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Toledo Rockets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Detroit Mercy Titans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rockets1-2 7th · W1
- Rockets rating1521 150th of 357, 2 games
- Titans2-2 4th · L1
- Titans rating1341 322nd of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Toledo Rockets 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TOLWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Toledo Rockets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $DETMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Detroit Mercy Titans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Toledo Rockets at Detroit Mercy Titans
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Toledo 85% to win. Projected score Toledo 71, Detroit Mercy 61; spread Toledo −9, total 132. Toledo Rockets at Detroit Mercy Titans, Thu, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ET.