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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Joyce Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Detroit Mercy Titans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Detroit Mercy Titans or Notre Dame Fighting Irish: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 3–97Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: ND 97%
Record 1-0
––
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 10 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Detroit Mercy Titans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Detroit Mercy Titans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Detroit Mercy Titans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatDETMND
ScoreDETM–ND–
Average win probabilityDETM–ND–
Longest scoring runDETM–ND–
Time leadingDETM–ND–

Detroit Mercy Titans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Titans3%
Win chance
Fighting Irish97%
SpreadND −26
Total130.5
Moneyline+2908away / −2908homeaway / home
Line movementND win chance, 76 stored lines
+34 pts for ND since Oct 29
100%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: ND 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: ND 98%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: ND 98%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: ND 98%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET: ND 97%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: ND 97%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: ND 97%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredND winMove
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET97%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET97%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET97%0
Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET97%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET97%0
Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET97%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET97%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET97%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET97%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET97%+1
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET96%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET98%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET98%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET98%+35
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
ND 1745 · DETM 1336
Home spread
−26
Stored
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TitansFighting Irish
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Fighting Irish–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Detroit Mercy Titans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Fighting Irish a 26-point favorite at home, with a 97% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Fighting Irish 1745 (8th of 356), Titans 1336 (325th). The Fighting Irish are 1-0; the Titans are 1-0. The Fighting Irish have won 4 of their last 5; the Titans 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Detroit Mercy Titans

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Green Bay PhoenixL 57–81––matchup
at Milwaukee PanthersW 69–67––matchup
vs Northern Kentucky NorseW 70–69––matchup
at Youngstown State PenguinsL 60–72––matchup
at IU Indianapolis JaguarsL 72–74––matchup

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Villanova WildcatsW 99–75––matchup
at UConn HuskiesL 52–70––matchup
at Vanderbilt CommodoresW 67–64––matchup
at Ohio State BuckeyesW 83–73––matchup
vs Fairfield StagsW 79–60––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Detroit Mercy Titans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Titans1-0 1st · W1
  • Titans rating1336 325th of 356, 0 games
  • Fighting Irish1-0 4th · W1
  • Fighting Irish rating1745 8th of 356, 1 games

Detroit Mercy Titans 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DETMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DETMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DETMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $DETMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Detroit Mercy Titans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Titans roster, schedule and more

Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NDWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Fighting Irish roster, schedule and more

Takes on Detroit Mercy Titans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sign in to post a take on $DETMWBBNDWBB261111: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Notre Dame 97% to win. Projected score Notre Dame 78, Detroit Mercy 52; spread Notre Dame −26, total 130.5. Detroit Mercy Titans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET.