St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Buffalo Bulls prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
St. Bonaventure at Buffalo: Bandwagon's model makes St. Bonaventure a 56% favorite (Buffalo −1).
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Buffalo Bulls odds and win probability
Axle gives St. Bonaventure a 56% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has St. Bonaventure
All WCBB ratings| SBU | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1444 235th of 357 | 1343 320th of 357 |
| Record | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | BUF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:48 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:43 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:53 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:49 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET | 44% | −2 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:52 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:02 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:57 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:37 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:52 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 6:04 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:49 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:04 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 2:03 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:48 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 46% | — |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Buffalo Bulls prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bonnies the favorite, with a 56% chance to win; its spread is Bulls −1. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bulls 1343 (320th of 357), Bonnies 1444 (235th). The Bulls are 1-1; the Bonnies are 1-0. The Bulls have won 2 of their last 5; the Bonnies 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulls won 3, the Bonnies 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L 50–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Drexel Dragons | W 69–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L 59–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fordham Rams | W 77–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Washington Revolutionaries | L 47–61 | – | – | matchup |
Buffalo Bulls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Youngstown State Penguins | L 62–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia State Panthers | W 82–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Massachusetts Minutewomen | L 55–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Illinois Huskies | L 53–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toledo Rockets | W 69–66 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 57–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Buffalo Bulls | 46–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Buffalo Bulls | 69–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| Buffalo Bulls at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 58–49 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
St. Bonaventure Bonnies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Buffalo Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bonnies1-0 3rd · W1
- Bonnies rating1444 235th of 357, 0 games
- Bulls1-1 5th · L1
- Bulls rating1343 320th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SBUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Buffalo Bulls 1-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $BUFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Buffalo Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Buffalo Bulls
Sign in to post a take on $SBUWBBBUFWBB261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.