South Carolina Gamecocks vs Providence Friars prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
South Carolina at Providence: Bandwagon's model makes South Carolina a 91% favorite (South Carolina −13.5).
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Providence Friars odds and win probability
Axle gives South Carolina a 91% chance to win, by about 14 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has South Carolina
All WCBB ratings| SC | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1865 2nd of 357 | 1473 192nd of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | PROV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 9% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET | 9% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:48 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:43 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:43 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:53 PM ET | 10% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 10% | — |
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Providence Friars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gamecocks a 13.5-point favorite, with a 91% chance to win. The model total is 131. Ratings: Friars 1473 (192nd of 357), Gamecocks 1865 (2nd). The Friars are 1-1; the Gamecocks are 2-0. The Friars have won 1 of their last 5; the Gamecocks 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Friars won 0, the Gamecocks 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
South Carolina Gamecocks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 39–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Maryland Terrapins | W 101–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 51–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | W 62–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TCU Horned Frogs | W 78–52 | – | – | matchup |
Providence Friars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Massachusetts Minutewomen | L 50–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Villanova Wildcats | L 65–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs DePaul Blue Demons | W 69–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Marquette Golden Eagles | L 65–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Creighton Bluejays | L 49–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence Friars at South Carolina Gamecocks | 55–96 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Carolina Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Providence Friars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Gamecocks2-0 15th · W2
- Gamecocks rating1865 2nd of 357, 2 games
- Friars1-1 10th · L1
- Friars rating1473 192nd of 357, 1 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 15th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $SCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $PROVWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Providence Friars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Carolina Gamecocks at Providence Friars
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: South Carolina 91% to win. Projected score South Carolina 72, Providence 59; spread South Carolina −13.5, total 131. South Carolina Gamecocks at Providence Friars, Sat, Nov 21, 1:30 PM ET.