South Carolina leads Maryland 12-2 with 7:27 left in the first period, a 10-point margin. The model gives the Gamecocks a 76% chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Colonial Life Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Maryland Terrapins vs South Carolina Gamecocks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMaryland 93, South Carolina 101 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSouth Carolina 76%
- Pregame Projected scoreSouth Carolina 71, Maryland 60
- Model spreadSouth Carolina −10.5 total 130.5
- Margin8 projected 10.5
- Total194 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Maryland Terrapins or South Carolina Gamecocks: the bandwagon
Axle 24–76Market –
FinalPregame: SC 76%Baseline: SC 98.0% (+21.6)Big swing: 15.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 14 | 19 | 26 | 34 | 93 |
| SC | 33 | 28 | 17 | 23 | 101 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Maryland Terrapins at South Carolina Gamecocks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.2 points for SC over the last 5:00
Big swing15.9 ptstoward SC at 2:49 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineSC 98.0%game average, +21.6 points from the pregame 76.3%
Maryland Terrapins vs South Carolina Gamecocks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MD | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MD32/75 | SC36/73 |
| 3-pointers | MD13/30 | SC8/16 |
| Free throws | MD16/21 | SC21/26 |
| Rebounds | MD36 | SC44 |
| Assists | MD22 | SC24 |
| Turnovers | MD16 | SC17 |
| Steals | MD9 | SC10 |
| Blocks | MD3 | SC8 |
| Points in the paint | MD34 | SC52 |
| Fast-break points | MD19 | SC32 |
| Fouls | MD24 | SC21 |
| Largest lead | MD0 | SC31 |
Maryland Terrapins vs South Carolina Gamecocks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MD | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MD93 | SC101 |
| Average win probability | MD2% | SC98% |
| Longest scoring run | MD+10 | SC+11 |
| Time leading | MD0:00 | SC39:48 |
Maryland Terrapins vs South Carolina Gamecocks odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET
Terrapins24%
Win chanceGamecocks76%
SpreadSC −10.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+323away / −323homeaway / home
Line movementSC win chance, 9 stored lines
+26 pts for SC between Oct 29 and Nov 2
82%45%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | SC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 74% | +24 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- SC 1837 · MD 1682
- Home spread
- −10.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET · 2026-11-02 18:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Maryland Terrapins 93, South Carolina Gamecocks 101. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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TerrapinsGamecocks
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TerrapinsGamecocks
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Gamecocks–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Maryland Terrapins vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gamecocks a 10.5-point favorite, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Gamecocks 1845 (3rd of 356), Terrapins 1673 (27th). The Gamecocks are 1-0; the Terrapins are 0-1. The Gamecocks have won 4 of their last 5; the Terrapins 1 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Gamecocks won 4, the Terrapins 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Maryland Terrapins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 93–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina Tar Heels | L 66–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Murray State Racers | W 99–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oregon Ducks | L 68–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 69–87 | – | – | matchup |
South Carolina Gamecocks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Maryland Terrapins | W 101–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 51–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | W 62–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TCU Horned Frogs | W 78–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | W 94–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Terrapins at South Carolina Gamecocks | 67–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| Maryland Terrapins at South Carolina Gamecocks | 76–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| Maryland Terrapins at South Carolina Gamecocks | 75–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| South Carolina Gamecocks at Maryland Terrapins | 81–56 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Maryland Terrapins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Carolina Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Terrapins0-1 15th · L1
- Terrapins rating1673 27th of 356, 1 games
- Gamecocks1-0 12th · W1
- Gamecocks rating1845 3rd of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 15th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MDWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Maryland Terrapins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Maryland Terrapins at South Carolina Gamecocks
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Final: Maryland 93, South Carolina 101. Bandwagon's model had the South Carolina at 76% and projected South Carolina 71, Maryland 60; spread South Carolina −10.5, total 130.5.