South Alabama Jaguars vs Memphis Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
South Alabama at Memphis: Bandwagon's model makes Memphis a 63% favorite (Memphis −6).
South Alabama Jaguars vs Memphis Tigers odds and win probability
Axle gives Memphis a 63% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Memphis
All WCBB ratings| USA | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1444 236th of 357 | 1453 227th of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MEM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 63% | +3 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 60% | +4 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2:02 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:25 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:19 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 56% | +5 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:07 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:02 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET | 51% | +3 |
| Nov 6, 8:46 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:52 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 6:04 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:49 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:04 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 2:03 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:58 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:53 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 48% | — |
South Alabama Jaguars vs Memphis Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 6-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 127.5. Ratings: Tigers 1453 (227th of 357), Jaguars 1444 (236th). The Tigers are 3-0; the Jaguars are 1-2. The Tigers have won 3 of their last 5; the Jaguars 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Jaguars 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
South Alabama Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UCF Knights | L 59–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UAB Blazers | L 59–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | W 75–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | L 72–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alcorn State Lady Braves | W 73–65 | – | – | matchup |
Memphis Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Little Rock Trojans | W 62–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | W 47–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wichita State Shockers | W 65–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UAB Blazers | L 76–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTSA Roadrunners | L 55–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers at South Alabama Jaguars | 76–68 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Alabama Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Memphis Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jaguars1-2 11th · L2
- Jaguars rating1444 236th of 357, 3 games
- Tigers3-0 1st · W3
- Tigers rating1453 227th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $USAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Alabama Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Memphis Tigers 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $MEMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Memphis Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Alabama Jaguars at Memphis Tigers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Memphis 63% to win. Projected score Memphis 67, South Alabama 61; spread Memphis −6, total 127.5. South Alabama Jaguars at Memphis Tigers, Thu, Nov 19, 12:00 PM ET.