Santa Clara Broncos vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Santa Clara at Arizona State: Bandwagon's model makes Arizona State a 66% favorite (Arizona State −7.5).
Santa Clara Broncos vs Arizona State Sun Devils odds and win probability
Axle gives Arizona State a 66% chance to win, by about 7 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Arizona State
All WCBB ratings| SCU | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1624 65th of 357 | 1604 78th of 357 |
| Record | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ASU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 66% | +7 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 59% | −2 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2:02 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:08 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 61% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | — |
Santa Clara Broncos vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Sun Devils a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 131.5. Ratings: Sun Devils 1604 (78th of 357), Broncos 1624 (65th). The Sun Devils are 3-0; the Broncos are 3-0. The Sun Devils have won 3 of their last 5; the Broncos 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Sun Devils won 1, the Broncos 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Santa Clara Broncos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Long Beach State Beach | W 89–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Valley Wolverines | W 64–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wyoming Cowgirls | W 84–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Golden Bears | L 68–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 60–88 | – | – | matchup |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UNLV Lady Rebels | W 65–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W 79–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jackson State Lady Tigers | W 84–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Cavaliers | L 55–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | L 54–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils at Santa Clara Broncos | 82–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| Santa Clara Broncos at Arizona State Sun Devils | 65–55 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Santa Clara Broncos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arizona State Sun Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Broncos3-0 2nd · W3
- Broncos rating1624 65th of 357, 3 games
- Sun Devils3-0 3rd · W3
- Sun Devils rating1604 78th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W3
No stances yet today on $SCUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Santa Clara Broncos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W3
No stances yet today on $ASUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona State Sun Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Santa Clara Broncos at Arizona State Sun Devils
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Arizona State 66% to win. Projected score Arizona State 69, Santa Clara 62; spread Arizona State −7.5, total 131.5. Santa Clara Broncos at Arizona State Sun Devils, Fri, Nov 20, 8:30 PM ET.