Pacific Tigers vs Sacramento State Hornets prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Pacific at Sacramento State: Bandwagon's model makes Sacramento State a 76% favorite (Sacramento State −10.5).
Pacific Tigers vs Sacramento State Hornets odds and win probability
Axle gives Sacramento State a 76% chance to win, by about 11 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Sacramento State
All WCBB ratings| PAC | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1421 257th of 357 | 1510 161st of 357 |
| Record | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SAC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2:02 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:53 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET | 76% | +3 |
| Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:25 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:04 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 73% | — |
Pacific Tigers vs Sacramento State Hornets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hornets a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 130. Ratings: Hornets 1510 (161st of 357), Tigers 1421 (257th). The Hornets are 3-0; the Tigers are 1-1. The Hornets have won 4 of their last 5; the Tigers 0 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Hornets won 0, the Tigers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Pacific Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Washington Huskies | L 54–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington State Cougars | L 76–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Diego Toreros | L 59–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Santa Clara Broncos | L 79–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 70–85 | – | – | matchup |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | W 70–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Arlington Mavericks | W 67–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Idaho Vandals | L 51–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Idaho State Bengals | W 62–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Idaho State Bengals | W 85–72 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets at Pacific Tigers | 54–67 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Pacific Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Sacramento State Hornets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers1-1 6th · L1
- Tigers rating1421 257th of 357, 1 games
- Hornets3-0 1st · W3
- Hornets rating1510 161st of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Pacific Tigers 1-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $PACWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pacific Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $SACWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sacramento State Hornets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Pacific Tigers at Sacramento State Hornets
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Sacramento State 76% to win. Projected score Sacramento State 70, Pacific 60; spread Sacramento State −10.5, total 130. Pacific Tigers at Sacramento State Hornets, Fri, Nov 20, 2:00 PM ET.