Central Michigan Chippewas lead Old Dominion Monarchs 3-2 early in the 1st period, a one-goal margin with 8:22 on the clock. The model gives the Chippewas a 62% chance to win, and no crowd picks have been logged yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · McGuirk Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Old Dominion Monarchs vs Central Michigan Chippewas: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreOld Dominion 62, Central Michigan 58 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerCentral Michigan 62%
- Pregame Projected scoreCentral Michigan 68, Old Dominion 62
- Model spreadCentral Michigan −6 total 130.5
- Margin4 projected 6
- Total120 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Old Dominion Monarchs or Central Michigan Chippewas: the bandwagon
Axle 38–62Market –
FinalPregame: CMU 62%Baseline: CMU 66.9% (+4.5)Big swing: 35.8 ptsClutch window: 8:02
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU | 17 | 10 | 22 | 13 | 62 |
| CMU | 25 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 58 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Old Dominion Monarchs at Central Michigan Chippewas win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to ODU−70.3 points for CMU over the last 5:00
Big swing35.8 ptstoward ODU at 36:35 of game time
Clutch window8:02within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineCMU 66.9%game average, +4.5 points from the pregame 62.4%
Old Dominion Monarchs vs Central Michigan Chippewas live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ODU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | ODU22/64 | CMU20/78 |
| 3-pointers | ODU7/27 | CMU5/21 |
| Free throws | ODU11/16 | CMU13/21 |
| Rebounds | ODU54 | CMU46 |
| Assists | ODU11 | CMU11 |
| Turnovers | ODU24 | CMU13 |
| Steals | ODU7 | CMU14 |
| Blocks | ODU8 | CMU4 |
| Points in the paint | ODU26 | CMU30 |
| Fast-break points | ODU7 | CMU13 |
| Fouls | ODU22 | CMU13 |
| Largest lead | ODU6 | CMU11 |
Old Dominion Monarchs vs Central Michigan Chippewas team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ODU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ODU62 | CMU58 |
| Average win probability | ODU33% | CMU67% |
| Longest scoring run | ODU+10 | CMU+5 |
| Time leading | ODU6:31 | CMU30:14 |
Old Dominion Monarchs vs Central Michigan Chippewas odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET
Monarchs38%
Win chanceChippewas62%
SpreadCMU −6closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+166away / −166homeaway / home
Line movementCMU win chance, 9 stored lines
−1 pts for CMU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%57%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | CMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 62% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- CMU 1527 · ODU 1527
- Home spread
- −6
- Stored
- Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET · 2026-11-02 18:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Old Dominion Monarchs 62, Central Michigan Chippewas 58. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
MonarchsChippewas
Neutrals only–
MonarchsChippewas
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Chippewas–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Old Dominion Monarchs vs Central Michigan Chippewas prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Chippewas a 6-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Chippewas 1515 (156th of 356), Monarchs 1539 (131st). The Chippewas are 0-1; the Monarchs are 1-0. The Chippewas have won 2 of their last 5; the Monarchs 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Central Michigan Chippewas | W 62–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UL Monroe Warhawks | L 67–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at App State Mountaineers | W 75–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 55–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | W 73–60 | – | – | matchup |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | L 58–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio Bobcats | L 88–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bowling Green Falcons | W 77–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | L 56–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toledo Rockets | W 68–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Old Dominion Monarchs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Central Michigan Chippewas: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Monarchs1-0 6th · W1
- Monarchs rating1539 131st of 356, 1 games
- Chippewas0-1 7th · L1
- Chippewas rating1515 156th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W1
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No stances yet today on $ODUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Old Dominion Monarchs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Central Michigan Chippewas bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Old Dominion Monarchs at Central Michigan Chippewas
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Final: Old Dominion 62, Central Michigan 58. Bandwagon's model had the Central Michigan at 62% and projected Central Michigan 68, Old Dominion 62; spread Central Michigan −6, total 130.5.