Ohio State Buckeyes vs Texas Longhorns prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Ohio State at Texas: Bandwagon's model makes Texas a 68% favorite (Texas −8).
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Texas Longhorns odds and win probability
Axle gives Texas a 68% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Texas
All WCBB ratings| OSU | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1743 12th of 357 | 1840 4th of 357 |
| Record | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | W2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TEX win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 68% | — |
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Texas Longhorns prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Longhorns a 8-point favorite, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 131.5. Ratings: Longhorns 1840 (4th of 357), Buckeyes 1743 (12th). The Longhorns are 2-0; the Buckeyes are 3-0. The Longhorns have won 4 of their last 5; the Buckeyes 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Mercyhurst Lakers | W 91–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Michigan Chippewas | W 103–36 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UIC Flames | W 81–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 73–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Howard Bison | W 75–54 | – | – | matchup |
Texas Longhorns
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northern Colorado Bears | W 91–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 85–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 44–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan Wolverines | W 77–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | W 76–54 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Ohio State Buckeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Texas Longhorns: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Buckeyes3-0 4th · W3
- Buckeyes rating1743 12th of 357, 3 games
- Longhorns2-0 16th · W2
- Longhorns rating1840 4th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $OSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio State Buckeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Texas Longhorns 2-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 16th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $TEXWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Longhorns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Ohio State Buckeyes at Texas Longhorns
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Texas 68% to win. Projected score Texas 70, Ohio State 62; spread Texas −8, total 131.5. Ohio State Buckeyes at Texas Longhorns, Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET.