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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Welsh–Ryan Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Northern Illinois Huskies vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026

Northern Illinois at Northwestern: Bandwagon's model makes Northwestern a 68% favorite (Northwestern −7.5).

Northern Illinois Huskies vs Northwestern Wildcats odds and win probability

NIU · AWAYNorthern Illinois1-1 · won 3 of last 5
Tip-offWelsh–Ryan Arena
NU · HOMENorthwestern1-2 · won 1 of last 5

Axle gives Northwestern a 68% chance to win, by about 8 points.

Northern Illinois 32%Northwestern 68%
Projected score63–71Northern Illinois–Northwestern
Model spreadNU −7.5NIU +7.5
Model total133.5points
Model moneyline+210 / −210NIU / NU

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has Northwestern

All WCBB ratings
NIU and NU side by side
NIUNU
Rating1371 300th of 3571400 272nd of 357
Record1-11-2
Last 5 games3-21-4
StreakL1L2
Home fieldNoYes

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementNU win chance, 29 stored lines
−1 pts for NU since Nov 8
74%62%
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET: NU 69%Nov 8, 1:58 PM ET: NU 69%Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET: NU 69%Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET: NU 68%Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET: NU 68%Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET: NU 68%
Nov 8Nov 9Now
Every stored line
StoredNU winMove
Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET68%0
Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET68%0
Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET68%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET68%0
Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET68%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET68%0
Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET68%0
Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET68%−1
Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 1:58 PM ET69%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET69%—

Northern Illinois Huskies vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 133.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1400 (272nd of 357), Huskies 1371 (300th). The Wildcats are 1-2; the Huskies are 1-1. The Wildcats have won 1 of their last 5; the Huskies 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Northern Illinois Huskies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Bradley BravesL 54–69––matchup
vs Indiana State SycamoresW 76–71––matchup
at Bowling Green FalconsL 66–77––matchup
vs Buffalo BullsW 56–53––matchup
vs Eastern Michigan EaglesW 70–61––matchup

Northwestern Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at UIC FlamesL 71–76––matchup
vs Xavier MusketeersL 78–91––matchup
vs Milwaukee PanthersW 64–60––matchup
vs Purdue BoilermakersL 62–67––matchup
at Maryland TerrapinsL 57–79––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Northern Illinois Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Northwestern Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Huskies1-1 6th · L1
  • Huskies rating1371 300th of 357, 2 games
  • Wildcats1-2 17th · L2
  • Wildcats rating1400 272nd of 357, 3 games

More WCBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Northern Illinois Huskies 1-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NIUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Illinois Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Huskies roster, schedule and more

Northwestern Wildcats 1-2

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 17th · streak L2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northwestern Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

Takes on Northern Illinois Huskies at Northwestern Wildcats

Sign in to post a take on $NIUWBBNUWBB261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: Northwestern 68% to win. Projected score Northwestern 71, Northern Illinois 63; spread Northwestern −7.5, total 133.5. Northern Illinois Huskies at Northwestern Wildcats, Sat, Nov 21, 2:00 PM ET.