Missouri Tigers vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Missouri at Kansas State: Bandwagon's model makes Kansas State a 53% favorite (Kansas State −3.5).
Missouri Tigers vs Kansas State Wildcats odds and win probability
Axle gives Kansas State a 53% chance to win, by about 4 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Kansas State
All WCBB ratings| MIZ | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1571 103rd of 357 | 1606 76th of 357 |
| Record | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | W4 |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | KSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 53% | −6 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 59% | −3 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 62% | — |
Missouri Tigers vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 3.5-point favorite, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 132. Ratings: Wildcats 1606 (76th of 357), Tigers 1571 (103rd). The Wildcats are 4-0; the Tigers are 3-0. The Wildcats have won 4 of their last 5; the Tigers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 1, the Tigers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Missouri Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | W 106–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Little Rock Trojans | W 73–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Howard Bison | W 91–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 75–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seton Hall Pirates | W 67–57 | – | – | matchup |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Montana Lady Griz | W 67–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W 68–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wichita State Shockers | W 61–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs California Golden Bears | L 75–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | W 69–65 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Tigers at Kansas State Wildcats | 56–84 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Missouri Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Kansas State Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers3-0 8th · W3
- Tigers rating1571 103rd of 357, 3 games
- Wildcats4-0 1st · W4
- Wildcats rating1606 76th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Missouri Tigers 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $MIZWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W4
No stances yet today on $KSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas State Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Missouri Tigers at Kansas State Wildcats
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Kansas State 53% to win. Projected score Kansas State 68, Missouri 64; spread Kansas State −3.5, total 132. Missouri Tigers at Kansas State Wildcats, Sun, Nov 22, 7:30 PM ET.