Longwood Lancers vs Troy Trojans prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Longwood at Troy: Bandwagon's model makes Troy an 85% favorite (Troy −14.5).
Longwood Lancers vs Troy Trojans odds and win probability
Axle gives Troy a 85% chance to win, by about 15 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Troy
All WCBB ratings| LONG | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1485 185th of 357 | 1642 47th of 357 |
| Record | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TROY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 85% | +2 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:08 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:43 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:49 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:34 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:12 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:07 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:52 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:04 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 2:03 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:38 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | — |
Longwood Lancers vs Troy Trojans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Trojans a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 136. Ratings: Trojans 1642 (47th of 357), Lancers 1485 (185th). The Trojans are 2-0; the Lancers are 2-1. The Trojans have won 2 of their last 5; the Lancers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Trojans won 1, the Lancers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Longwood Lancers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Charlotte 49ers | L 72–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Radford Highlanders | L 58–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs | W 72–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Presbyterian Blue Hose | W 89–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W 96–69 | – | – | matchup |
Troy Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | W 89–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 70–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | L 52–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 83–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | L 69–76 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans at Longwood Lancers | 86–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Longwood Lancers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Troy Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lancers2-1 4th · L1
- Lancers rating1485 185th of 357, 1 games
- Trojans2-0 6th · W2
- Trojans rating1642 47th of 357, 1 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Longwood Lancers 2-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $LONGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Longwood Lancers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Troy Trojans 2-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $TROYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Troy Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Longwood Lancers at Troy Trojans
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.